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Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Orense SC vs Delfin SC: 4-0 result and AI prediction review

Orense SCOrense SC4 – 0Delfin SCDelfin SC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Orense SC 4-0 Delfin SC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Delfin SC (63%), while victory for Orense SC was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.

Match analysis

Orense SC vs Delfin SC was played on Saturday, October 24, 2026 (Ecuadorian Liga Pro). Venue: Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. Before kick-off, our model gave Orense SC a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Delfin SC 63%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (9.8%), ahead of 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-1 (9.0%).

Orense SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Delfin SC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Delfin SC. On average Orense SC score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Delfin SC score 2.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Orense SC sit 14th with 35 points from 33 games, Delfin SC 13th with 35 points from 33. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Orense SC have averaged 1.02 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.31 for Delfin SC.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Orense SC, 0 for Delfin SC and 2 draws. The most recent ended Delfin SC 1-1 Orense SC (Aug 9, 2026). In double chance terms, "Orense SC or draw" stands at 37%, "Delfin SC or draw" at 83% and "no draw" at 80%.

In short : Delfin SC are tipped by our AI model in this Orense SC v Delfin SC (63%). In the table, Orense SC (14th, 35 pts) host Delfin SC (13th, 35 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

17%
Orense SC (Win)
20%
Draw
63%
Delfin SC (Win)

Double chance

37%
Orense SC or draw
83%
Delfin SC or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Orense SC – Delfin SC. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Orense SC 1-2 Delfin SC9.8%
Orense SC 0-2 Delfin SC9.1%
Orense SC 1-1 Delfin SC9.0%
Orense SC 0-1 Delfin SC8.3%
Orense SC 1-3 Delfin SC7.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.27 goals in total (1.08 for Orense SC, 2.19 for Delfin SC): over 2.5 goals has a 64% probability and both teams to score 59%. Everything points to an open game. Orense SC keep a clean sheet in 11% of scenarios, Delfin SC in 34%.

Probability
Orense SC expected goals1.08
Delfin SC expected goals2.19
Both teams to score59%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Orense SC clean sheet11%
Delfin SC clean sheet34%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Orense SC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 19, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-0D
Sep 21, 2026Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L
Sep 8, 2026Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro4-3W

Delfin SC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro4-2W
Oct 9, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro3-2W
Sep 20, 2026Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Sep 17, 2026LDU Portoviejo · Copa Ecuador2-0W
Sep 14, 2026Barcelona SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Orense SC143533
Delfin SC133533

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Delfin SC 1-1 Orense SCEcuadorian Liga Pro
Apr 19, 2026Orense SC 0-0 Delfin SCEcuadorian Liga Pro

Out and doubtful

Orense SC

No absences reported.

Delfin SC

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Orense SC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Agustin Herrera3/5
  • Beder Caicedo3/5
  • Christian Ortíz3/5
  • Gabriel Achilier3/5
  • Nixon Molina3/5
  • Pedro Velasco3/5
  • Rolando Silva3/5
  • Valentín Burgoa3/5
  • A. Herrera2/5
  • Alan Lorenzo2/5
  • B. Caicedo2/5

Delfin SC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Bedoya3/5
  • B. Heras3/5
  • F. Ayunta3/5
  • G. Heredia3/5
  • O. Medina3/5
  • T. Ozaeta3/5
  • Anthony Bedoya2/5
  • B. Hernández2/5
  • Brian Heras2/5
  • Danny Gabriel Luna Morán2/5
  • Danny Luna2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Orense SC vs Delfin SC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Orense SC a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Delfin SC 63%. Delfin SC are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Orense SC vs Delfin SC?

1-2 (9.8%), followed by 0-2 (9.1%), 1-1 (9.0%), 0-1 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.2%).

Will both teams score in Orense SC vs Delfin SC?

The probability that both Orense SC and Delfin SC score is 59%. Orense SC have a 11% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Delfin SC 34%.

How many goals should we expect in Orense SC vs Delfin SC?

The model expects 3.27 goals (1.08 for Orense SC, 2.19 for Delfin SC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 41%.

When and where is Orense SC vs Delfin SC played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala.

What form are Orense SC and Delfin SC in?

Orense SC: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Delfin SC: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Orense SC and Delfin SC?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Orense SC, 0 for Delfin SC and 2 draws. The most recent ended Delfin SC 1-1 Orense SC (Aug 9, 2026).

What was the Orense SC vs Delfin SC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Orense SC 4-0 Delfin SC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Delfin SC (63%), while victory for Orense SC was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.

How is the Orense SC vs Delfin SC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.08 for Orense SC, 2.19 for Delfin SC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained