Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Adiake vs Bouaké: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Adiake 2-1 Bouaké. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Adiake was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Adiake vs Bouaké was played on Saturday, October 24, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5). Before kick-off, our model gave Adiake a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bouaké 33%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 1-0 (10.4%) and 0-1 (9.1%).
Adiake have not won any of their last 4 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Bouaké have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Adiake score 0.50 and concede 1.25 goals per game; Bouaké score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Adiake sit 16th with 1 points from 4 games, Bouaké 11th with 3 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Adiake and Bouaké: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Adiake or draw" stands at 67%, "Bouaké or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Adiake host Bouaké in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (26%). On recent form, Adiake are struggling (3 losses in 4) while Bouaké have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Adiake – Bouaké. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Adiake 1-1 Bouaké | 12.5% |
| Adiake 1-0 Bouaké | 10.4% |
| Adiake 0-1 Bouaké | 9.1% |
| Adiake 2-1 Bouaké | 8.6% |
| Adiake 1-2 Bouaké | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.59 goals in total (1.38 for Adiake, 1.21 for Bouaké): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Adiake keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Bouaké in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Adiake expected goals | 1.38 |
| Bouaké expected goals | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Adiake clean sheet | 30% |
| Bouaké clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Adiake
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 15, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SOL · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
Bouaké
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 7, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 16, 2026 | Stella · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adiake | 16 | 1 | 4 |
| Bouaké | 11 | 3 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Adiake and Bouaké: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Adiake
No absences reported.
Bouaké
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Mouna 1-0 ZomanOct 23, 2026
- SOL 1-2 ES AgbovilleOct 24, 2026
- ISCA 1-2 StellaOct 25, 2026
- US Tchologo 1-1 Stade d'AbidjanOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Adiake vs Bouaké prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Adiake a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bouaké 33%. Adiake are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Adiake vs Bouaké?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.4%), 0-1 (9.1%), 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Adiake vs Bouaké?
The probability that both Adiake and Bouaké score is 53%. Adiake have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bouaké 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Adiake vs Bouaké?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.38 for Adiake, 1.21 for Bouaké). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Adiake vs Bouaké played?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5.
What form are Adiake and Bouaké in?
Adiake: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches (2 scored, 5 conceded). Bouaké: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the Adiake vs Bouaké result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Adiake 2-1 Bouaké. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Adiake was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Adiake vs Bouaké prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.38 for Adiake, 1.21 for Bouaké) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Adiake predictions
- All Bouaké predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology