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Ivorian Ligue 1Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

US TchologoUS Tchologo1 – 1Stade d'AbidjanStade d'Abidjan

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: US Tchologo 1-1 Stade d'Abidjan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Stade d'Abidjan (57%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.

Match analysis

US Tchologo and Stade d'Abidjan met on Sunday, October 25, 2026, a Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave US Tchologo a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stade d'Abidjan 57%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%) and 0-2 (10.4%).

US Tchologo have not won any of their last 5 matches (4 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Stade d'Abidjan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Stade d'Abidjan therefore arrive in far better shape than US Tchologo. On average US Tchologo score 0.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Stade d'Abidjan score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, US Tchologo sit 11th with 3 points from 4 games, Stade d'Abidjan 2nd with 8 points from 4. 9 places separate the two sides.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between US Tchologo and Stade d'Abidjan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "US Tchologo or draw" stands at 43%, "Stade d'Abidjan or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : Stade d'Abidjan are favourites for this US Tchologo v Stade d'Abidjan, with a 57% win probability from our model. In the table, US Tchologo (11th, 3 pts) host Stade d'Abidjan (2nd, 8 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20%
US Tchologo (Win)
23%
Draw
57%
Stade d'Abidjan (Win)

Double chance

43%
US Tchologo or draw
80%
Stade d'Abidjan or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as US Tchologo – Stade d'Abidjan. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
US Tchologo 0-1 Stade d'Abidjan11.7%
US Tchologo 1-1 Stade d'Abidjan11.0%
US Tchologo 0-2 Stade d'Abidjan10.4%
US Tchologo 1-2 Stade d'Abidjan9.8%
US Tchologo 0-0 Stade d'Abidjan6.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.94 expected goals for US Tchologo and 1.78 for Stade d'Abidjan, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 51%. US Tchologo keep a clean sheet in 17% of scenarios, Stade d'Abidjan in 39%.

Probability
US Tchologo expected goals0.94
Stade d'Abidjan expected goals1.78
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
US Tchologo clean sheet17%
Stade d'Abidjan clean sheet39%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

US Tchologo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 20, 2026Adiake · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D
Oct 12, 2026Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 13-3D
Oct 4, 2026San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 10-2L
Sep 27, 2026ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D
May 24, 2026ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D

Stade d'Abidjan

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 12-0W
Oct 15, 2026SOL · Ivorian Ligue 16-5W
Oct 10, 2026ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 11-1D
Sep 26, 2026Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D
May 24, 2026Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
US Tchologo1134
Stade d'Abidjan284

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between US Tchologo and Stade d'Abidjan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

US Tchologo

No absences reported.

Stade d'Abidjan

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave US Tchologo a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stade d'Abidjan 57%. Stade d'Abidjan are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan?

0-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%), 0-2 (10.4%), 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.6%).

Will both teams score in US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan?

The probability that both US Tchologo and Stade d'Abidjan score is 51%. US Tchologo have a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Stade d'Abidjan 39%.

How many goals should we expect in US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan?

The model expects 2.72 goals (0.94 for US Tchologo, 1.78 for Stade d'Abidjan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5.

What form are US Tchologo and Stade d'Abidjan in?

US Tchologo: 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded). Stade d'Abidjan: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).

What was the US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: US Tchologo 1-1 Stade d'Abidjan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Stade d'Abidjan (57%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.

How is the US Tchologo vs Stade d'Abidjan prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.94 for US Tchologo, 1.78 for Stade d'Abidjan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained