Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
SOL vs ES Agboville: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SOL 1-2 ES Agboville. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SOL (51%), while victory for ES Agboville was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
SOL vs ES Agboville was played on Saturday, October 24, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5). Before kick-off, our model gave SOL a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ES Agboville 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, SOL have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, ES Agboville have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average SOL score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; ES Agboville score 0.80 and concede 0.60. In the table, SOL sit 4th with 7 points from 4 games, ES Agboville 5th with 7 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SOL and ES Agboville: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "SOL or draw" stands at 76%, "ES Agboville or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : SOL are favourites for this SOL v ES Agboville, with a 51% win probability from our model. In the table, SOL (4th, 7 pts) host ES Agboville (5th, 7 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SOL – ES Agboville. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SOL 1-1 ES Agboville | 11.8% |
| SOL 1-0 ES Agboville | 11.4% |
| SOL 2-1 ES Agboville | 9.5% |
| SOL 2-0 ES Agboville | 9.2% |
| SOL 0-1 ES Agboville | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.61 for SOL, 1.04 for ES Agboville): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. SOL keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, ES Agboville in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SOL expected goals | 1.61 |
| ES Agboville expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| SOL clean sheet | 35% |
| ES Agboville clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SOL
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Yamoussoukro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 5-6 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adiake · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
ES Agboville
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Adiake · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| ES Agboville | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SOL and ES Agboville: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
SOL
No absences reported.
ES Agboville
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Mouna 1-0 ZomanOct 23, 2026
- Adiake 2-1 BouakéOct 24, 2026
- ISCA 1-2 StellaOct 25, 2026
- US Tchologo 1-1 Stade d'AbidjanOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SOL vs ES Agboville prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SOL a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ES Agboville 24%. SOL are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for SOL vs ES Agboville?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in SOL vs ES Agboville?
The probability that both SOL and ES Agboville score is 52%. SOL have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, ES Agboville 20%.
How many goals should we expect in SOL vs ES Agboville?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for SOL, 1.04 for ES Agboville). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is SOL vs ES Agboville played?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5.
What form are SOL and ES Agboville in?
SOL: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). ES Agboville: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the SOL vs ES Agboville result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SOL 1-2 ES Agboville. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SOL (51%), while victory for ES Agboville was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the SOL vs ES Agboville prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for SOL, 1.04 for ES Agboville) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SOL predictions
- All ES Agboville predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology