Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Mouna vs Zoman: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Mouna 1-0 Zoman. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zoman (42%), while victory for Mouna was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
Mouna vs Zoman was played on Friday, October 23, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5). Before kick-off, our model gave Mouna a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zoman 42%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-0 (8.9%).
Mouna have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Zoman have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Zoman. On average Mouna score 0.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Zoman score 0.80 and concede 0.60. In the table, Mouna sit 9th with 4 points from 4 games, Zoman 6th with 7 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mouna and Zoman: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Mouna or draw" stands at 58%, "Zoman or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Zoman to edge Mouna (42% probability). On recent form, Mouna have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Zoman have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Mouna – Zoman. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mouna 1-1 Zoman | 12.5% |
| Mouna 0-1 Zoman | 10.5% |
| Mouna 1-0 Zoman | 8.9% |
| Mouna 1-2 Zoman | 8.7% |
| Mouna 0-0 Zoman | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.59 goals in total (1.19 for Mouna, 1.40 for Zoman): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Mouna keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Zoman in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Mouna expected goals | 1.19 |
| Zoman expected goals | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Mouna clean sheet | 25% |
| Zoman clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Mouna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Yamoussoukro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
| May 11, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
Zoman
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| May 17, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| May 10, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mouna | 9 | 4 | 4 |
| Zoman | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mouna and Zoman: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Mouna
No absences reported.
Zoman
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Adiake 2-1 BouakéOct 24, 2026
- SOL 1-2 ES AgbovilleOct 24, 2026
- ISCA 1-2 StellaOct 25, 2026
- US Tchologo 1-1 Stade d'AbidjanOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Mouna vs Zoman prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Mouna a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zoman 42%. Zoman are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Mouna vs Zoman?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.5%), 1-0 (8.9%), 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Mouna vs Zoman?
The probability that both Mouna and Zoman score is 52%. Mouna have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Zoman 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Mouna vs Zoman?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.19 for Mouna, 1.40 for Zoman). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Mouna vs Zoman played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 5.
What form are Mouna and Zoman in?
Mouna: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded). Zoman: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Mouna vs Zoman result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Mouna 1-0 Zoman. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zoman (42%), while victory for Mouna was rated at only 32%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the Mouna vs Zoman prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.19 for Mouna, 1.40 for Zoman) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Mouna predictions
- All Zoman predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology