Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Bouaké vs AFAD prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1: Bouaké vs AFAD kicks off on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time). The edge goes to Bouaké (49%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a AFAD win (26%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Bouaké have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 4. AFAD are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 16 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with AFAD. On average Bouaké score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; AFAD score 3.20 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Bouaké and AFAD: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Bouaké or draw" stands at 74%, "AFAD or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Bouaké are favourites for this Bouaké v AFAD, with a 49% win probability from our model. On recent form, Bouaké have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while AFAD have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bouaké – AFAD. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bouaké 1-1 AFAD | 12.0% |
| Bouaké 1-0 AFAD | 11.2% |
| Bouaké 2-1 AFAD | 9.4% |
| Bouaké 2-0 AFAD | 8.8% |
| Bouaké 0-1 AFAD | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.56 for Bouaké, 1.07 for AFAD): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Bouaké keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, AFAD in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bouaké expected goals | 1.56 |
| AFAD expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Bouaké clean sheet | 34% |
| AFAD clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Bouaké
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 16, 2026 | Stella · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| May 10, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| May 2, 2026 | SOL · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Apr 26, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
AFAD
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | East End Lions · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | East End Lions · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-1 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | SOL · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | Olympique Sport d'Abobo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 8-0 | W |
| May 10, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bouaké | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| AFAD | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Bouaké and AFAD: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Bouaké
No absences reported.
AFAD
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Stade d'Abidjan – MounaSep 26, 2026
- San-Pédro – ZomanSep 27, 2026
- US Tchologo – ISCASep 27, 2026
- Korhogo – ES AgbovilleSep 27, 2026
- SOA – StellaSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bouaké vs AFAD prediction?
Our AI gives Bouaké a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AFAD 26%. Bouaké are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Bouaké vs AFAD?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Bouaké vs AFAD?
The probability that both Bouaké and AFAD score is 52%. Bouaké have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, AFAD 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Bouaké vs AFAD?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for Bouaké, 1.07 for AFAD). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Bouaké vs AFAD played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1.
What form are Bouaké and AFAD in?
Bouaké: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). AFAD: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Bouaké vs AFAD prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Bouaké, 1.07 for AFAD) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Bouaké predictions
- All AFAD predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology