Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
SOA vs Stella prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
SOA take on Stella on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), a Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1 fixture. SOA start as favourites with a 47% chance of victory; Stella are given 27% and the draw 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
SOA have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Stella are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 6 and conceding 2. Stella therefore arrive in far better shape than SOA. On average SOA score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Stella score 1.20 and concede 0.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SOA and Stella: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "SOA or draw" stands at 73%, "Stella or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs SOA to edge Stella (47% probability). On recent form, SOA have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Stella are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SOA – Stella. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SOA 1-1 Stella | 12.2% |
| SOA 1-0 Stella | 11.1% |
| SOA 2-1 Stella | 9.3% |
| SOA 2-0 Stella | 8.4% |
| SOA 0-1 Stella | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.52 expected goals for SOA and 1.10 for Stella, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. SOA keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Stella in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SOA expected goals | 1.52 |
| Stella expected goals | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| SOA clean sheet | 33% |
| Stella clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SOA
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Medeama · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 18, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 10, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-3 | L |
| May 3, 2026 | Stella · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Stella
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Racing d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 16, 2026 | Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 9, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 3, 2026 | SOA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOA | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Stella | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SOA and Stella: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
SOA
No absences reported.
Stella
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Stade d'Abidjan – MounaSep 26, 2026
- Bouaké – AFADSep 27, 2026
- San-Pédro – ZomanSep 27, 2026
- US Tchologo – ISCASep 27, 2026
- Korhogo – ES AgbovilleSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SOA vs Stella prediction?
Our AI gives SOA a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stella 27%. SOA are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for SOA vs Stella?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in SOA vs Stella?
The probability that both SOA and Stella score is 52%. SOA have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Stella 22%.
How many goals should we expect in SOA vs Stella?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.52 for SOA, 1.10 for Stella). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is SOA vs Stella played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1.
What form are SOA and Stella in?
SOA: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Stella: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded).
How is the SOA vs Stella prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for SOA, 1.10 for Stella) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SOA predictions
- All Stella predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology