Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Stade d'Abidjan take on Mouna on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), a Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan. The edge goes to Stade d'Abidjan (51%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Mouna win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Stade d'Abidjan have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Mouna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Stade d'Abidjan score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Mouna score 1.40 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Stade d'Abidjan and Mouna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Stade d'Abidjan or draw" stands at 76%, "Mouna or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Stade d'Abidjan to edge Mouna (51% probability). On recent form, Stade d'Abidjan have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Mouna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Stade d'Abidjan – Mouna. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Stade d'Abidjan 1-1 Mouna | 11.8% |
| Stade d'Abidjan 1-0 Mouna | 11.4% |
| Stade d'Abidjan 2-1 Mouna | 9.5% |
| Stade d'Abidjan 2-0 Mouna | 9.2% |
| Stade d'Abidjan 0-1 Mouna | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.61 for Stade d'Abidjan, 1.04 for Mouna): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Stade d'Abidjan keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Mouna in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Stade d'Abidjan expected goals | 1.61 |
| Mouna expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Stade d'Abidjan clean sheet | 35% |
| Mouna clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Stade d'Abidjan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | Racing d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| May 9, 2026 | Stella · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| May 4, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Apr 26, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Mouna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
| May 11, 2026 | ES Agboville · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| May 5, 2026 | Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Apr 26, 2026 | AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stade d'Abidjan | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mouna | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Stade d'Abidjan and Mouna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Stade d'Abidjan
No absences reported.
Mouna
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Bouaké – AFADSep 27, 2026
- San-Pédro – ZomanSep 27, 2026
- US Tchologo – ISCASep 27, 2026
- Korhogo – ES AgbovilleSep 27, 2026
- SOA – StellaSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna prediction?
Our AI gives Stade d'Abidjan a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mouna 24%. Stade d'Abidjan are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna?
The probability that both Stade d'Abidjan and Mouna score is 52%. Stade d'Abidjan have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Mouna 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Stade d'Abidjan, 1.04 for Mouna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1. Venue: Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan.
What form are Stade d'Abidjan and Mouna in?
Stade d'Abidjan: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Mouna: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Stade d'Abidjan, 1.04 for Mouna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Stade d'Abidjan predictions
- All Mouna predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology