Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Korhogo vs ES Agboville prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1: Korhogo vs ES Agboville kicks off on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Korhogo (51%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a ES Agboville win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Korhogo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, ES Agboville have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Korhogo score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; ES Agboville score 0.80 and concede 0.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Korhogo and ES Agboville: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Korhogo or draw" stands at 76%, "ES Agboville or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Korhogo to edge ES Agboville (51% probability). On recent form, Korhogo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while ES Agboville have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Korhogo – ES Agboville. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Korhogo 1-1 ES Agboville | 11.8% |
| Korhogo 1-0 ES Agboville | 11.4% |
| Korhogo 2-1 ES Agboville | 9.5% |
| Korhogo 2-0 ES Agboville | 9.2% |
| Korhogo 0-1 ES Agboville | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.61 for Korhogo, 1.04 for ES Agboville): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Korhogo keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, ES Agboville in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Korhogo expected goals | 1.61 |
| ES Agboville expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Korhogo clean sheet | 35% |
| ES Agboville clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Korhogo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | AS PSI · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | AS PSI · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-2 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| May 17, 2026 | SOL · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| May 9, 2026 | Racing d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
ES Agboville
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| May 17, 2026 | ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| May 11, 2026 | Mouna · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| May 3, 2026 | Racing d'Abidjan · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Apr 25, 2026 | San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korhogo | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| ES Agboville | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Korhogo and ES Agboville: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Korhogo
No absences reported.
ES Agboville
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Stade d'Abidjan – MounaSep 26, 2026
- Bouaké – AFADSep 27, 2026
- San-Pédro – ZomanSep 27, 2026
- US Tchologo – ISCASep 27, 2026
- SOA – StellaSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Korhogo vs ES Agboville prediction?
Our AI gives Korhogo a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ES Agboville 24%. Korhogo are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Korhogo vs ES Agboville?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Korhogo vs ES Agboville?
The probability that both Korhogo and ES Agboville score is 52%. Korhogo have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, ES Agboville 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Korhogo vs ES Agboville?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Korhogo, 1.04 for ES Agboville). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Korhogo vs ES Agboville played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 1.
What form are Korhogo and ES Agboville in?
Korhogo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). ES Agboville: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the Korhogo vs ES Agboville prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Korhogo, 1.04 for ES Agboville) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Korhogo predictions
- All ES Agboville predictions
- Ivorian Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology