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Ivorian Ligue 1Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

Bouaké vs Korhogo: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

BouakéBouaké2 – 0KorhogoKorhogo

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Bouaké 2-0 Korhogo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Bouaké was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Bouaké vs Korhogo was played on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 4). Venue: Stade de la Paix, Bouake. Before kick-off, our model gave Bouaké a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Korhogo 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Bouaké have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Korhogo have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Bouaké score 0.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Korhogo score 1.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Bouaké sit 15th with 3 points from 4 games, Korhogo 16th with 2 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bouaké, 1 for Korhogo and 3 draws. The most recent ended Korhogo 0-1 Bouaké (Mar 8, 2026). In double chance terms, "Bouaké or draw" stands at 77%, "Korhogo or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Bouaké to edge Korhogo (52% probability). On recent form, Bouaké have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Korhogo have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Bouaké (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Korhogo (Win)

Double chance

77%
Bouaké or draw
48%
Korhogo or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Bouaké – Korhogo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Bouaké 1-1 Korhogo11.7%
Bouaké 1-0 Korhogo11.5%
Bouaké 2-1 Korhogo9.6%
Bouaké 2-0 Korhogo9.4%
Bouaké 0-1 Korhogo7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Bouaké, 1.02 for Korhogo): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Bouaké keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Korhogo in 19%.

Probability
Bouaké expected goals1.64
Korhogo expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Bouaké clean sheet36%
Korhogo clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bouaké

DateOpponentScore
Oct 24, 2026Adiake · Ivorian Ligue 11-2L
Oct 10, 2026San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 10-3L
Oct 7, 2026ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 10-1L
Sep 27, 2026AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 12-1W
May 24, 2026SOA · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D

Korhogo

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026SOA · Ivorian Ligue 10-2L
Oct 25, 2026FAR Rabat · CAF Confederation Cup1-2L
Oct 17, 2026FAR Rabat · CAF Confederation Cup0-0D
Oct 12, 2026US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 13-3D
Oct 5, 2026Zoman · Ivorian Ligue 11-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bouaké1534
Korhogo1624

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Korhogo 0-1 BouakéLigue 1
Sep 28, 2025Bouaké 0-0 KorhogoLigue 1
Mar 1, 2025Bouaké 0-0 KorhogoLigue 1
Oct 27, 2024Korhogo 0-0 BouakéLigue 1
Feb 24, 2024Korhogo 4-1 BouakéLigue 1

Out and doubtful

Bouaké

No absences reported.

Korhogo

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bouaké vs Korhogo prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Bouaké a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Korhogo 23%. Bouaké are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Bouaké vs Korhogo?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Bouaké vs Korhogo?

The probability that both Bouaké and Korhogo score is 52%. Bouaké have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Korhogo 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Bouaké vs Korhogo?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Bouaké, 1.02 for Korhogo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Bouaké vs Korhogo played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 4. Venue: Stade de la Paix, Bouake.

What form are Bouaké and Korhogo in?

Bouaké: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded). Korhogo: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bouaké and Korhogo?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bouaké, 1 for Korhogo and 3 draws. The most recent ended Korhogo 0-1 Bouaké (Mar 8, 2026).

What was the Bouaké vs Korhogo result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Bouaké 2-0 Korhogo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Bouaké was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Bouaké vs Korhogo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Bouaké, 1.02 for Korhogo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained