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Ivorian Ligue 1Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

ISCAISCA1 – 1ASEC MimosasASEC Mimosas

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: ISCA 1-1 ASEC Mimosas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for ISCA (43%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas was played on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 4). Before kick-off, our model gave ISCA a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ASEC Mimosas 31%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), ahead of 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.9%).

ISCA have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. ASEC Mimosas have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average ISCA score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; ASEC Mimosas score 1.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, ISCA sit 12th with 4 points from 4 games, ASEC Mimosas 10th with 5 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for ISCA, 3 for ASEC Mimosas and 0 draws. The most recent ended ASEC Mimosas 1-0 ISCA (May 4, 2026). In double chance terms, "ISCA or draw" stands at 69%, "ASEC Mimosas or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : ISCA are favourites for this ISCA v ASEC Mimosas, with a 43% win probability from our model. In the table, ISCA (12th, 4 pts) host ASEC Mimosas (10th, 5 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

43%
ISCA (Win)
26%
Draw
31%
ASEC Mimosas (Win)

Double chance

69%
ISCA or draw
57%
ASEC Mimosas or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as ISCA – ASEC Mimosas. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
ISCA 1-1 ASEC Mimosas12.4%
ISCA 1-0 ASEC Mimosas10.7%
ISCA 2-1 ASEC Mimosas8.9%
ISCA 0-1 ASEC Mimosas8.6%
ISCA 2-0 ASEC Mimosas7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.44 for ISCA, 1.16 for ASEC Mimosas): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. ISCA keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, ASEC Mimosas in 24%.

Probability
ISCA expected goals1.44
ASEC Mimosas expected goals1.16
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
ISCA clean sheet31%
ASEC Mimosas clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

ISCA

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Stella · Ivorian Ligue 11-2L
Oct 12, 2026SOA · Ivorian Ligue 10-1L
Oct 7, 2026Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W
Sep 27, 2026US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D
May 23, 2026San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 11-1D

ASEC Mimosas

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026San-Pédro · Ivorian Ligue 12-0W
Oct 25, 2026Maghreb Fès · CAF Champions League1-2L
Oct 18, 2026Maghreb Fès · CAF Champions League1-1D
Oct 10, 2026AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 11-1D
Oct 4, 2026Stella · Ivorian Ligue 10-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
ISCA1244
ASEC Mimosas1054

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026ASEC Mimosas 1-0 ISCALigue 1
Nov 22, 2025ISCA 0-3 ASEC MimosasLigue 1
Mar 28, 2025ISCA 0-1 ASEC MimosasLigue 1

Out and doubtful

ISCA

No absences reported.

ASEC Mimosas

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave ISCA a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ASEC Mimosas 31%. ISCA are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas?

1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.7%), 2-1 (8.9%), 0-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas?

The probability that both ISCA and ASEC Mimosas score is 52%. ISCA have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, ASEC Mimosas 24%.

How many goals should we expect in ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas?

The model expects 2.60 goals (1.44 for ISCA, 1.16 for ASEC Mimosas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 4.

What form are ISCA and ASEC Mimosas in?

ISCA: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). ASEC Mimosas: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between ISCA and ASEC Mimosas?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for ISCA, 3 for ASEC Mimosas and 0 draws. The most recent ended ASEC Mimosas 1-0 ISCA (May 4, 2026).

What was the ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: ISCA 1-1 ASEC Mimosas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for ISCA (43%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.44 for ISCA, 1.16 for ASEC Mimosas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained