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Ivorian Ligue 1Ivorian Ligue 1· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

San-Pédro vs SOA: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

San-PédroSan-Pédro1 – 0SOASOA

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: San-Pédro 1-0 SOA. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SOA (39%), while victory for San-Pédro was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

San-Pédro vs SOA was played on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 4). Venue: Stade Auguste Denise, San Pedro. Before kick-off, our model gave San-Pédro a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and SOA 39%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-0 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, San-Pédro have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 5. SOA are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with SOA. On average San-Pédro score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; SOA score 1.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, San-Pédro sit 8th with 6 points from 4 games, SOA 1st with 10 points from 4. 7 places separate the two sides.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for San-Pédro, 0 for SOA and 2 draws. The most recent ended San-Pédro 0-0 SOA (Mar 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "San-Pédro or draw" stands at 61%, "SOA or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : San-Pédro and SOA meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 27%). On recent form, San-Pédro have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while SOA are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

34%
San-Pédro (Win)
27%
Draw
39%
SOA (Win)

Double chance

61%
San-Pédro or draw
66%
SOA or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as San-Pédro – SOA. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
San-Pédro 1-1 SOA12.6%
San-Pédro 0-1 SOA10.2%
San-Pédro 1-0 SOA9.4%
San-Pédro 1-2 SOA8.4%
San-Pédro 2-1 SOA7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.24 for San-Pédro, 1.34 for SOA): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. San-Pédro keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, SOA in 29%.

Probability
San-Pédro expected goals1.24
SOA expected goals1.34
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
San-Pédro clean sheet26%
SOA clean sheet29%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

San-Pédro

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026ASEC Mimosas · Ivorian Ligue 10-2L
Oct 25, 2026Nouadhibou · CAF Champions League0-2L
Oct 17, 2026Nouadhibou · CAF Champions League2-1W
Oct 10, 2026Bouaké · Ivorian Ligue 13-0W
Oct 4, 2026US Tchologo · Ivorian Ligue 12-0W

SOA

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Korhogo · Ivorian Ligue 12-0W
Oct 12, 2026ISCA · Ivorian Ligue 11-0W
Oct 4, 2026AFAD · Ivorian Ligue 11-1D
Sep 27, 2026Stella · Ivorian Ligue 12-1W
Aug 8, 2026Medeama · Club Friendlies2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
San-Pédro864
SOA1104

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026San-Pédro 0-0 SOALigue 1
Oct 1, 2025SOA 1-2 San-PédroLigue 1
May 4, 2025SOA 0-0 San-PédroLigue 1
Dec 8, 2024San-Pédro 4-1 SOALigue 1
May 12, 2024San-Pédro 2-1 SOALigue 1

Out and doubtful

San-Pédro

No absences reported.

SOA

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the San-Pédro vs SOA prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave San-Pédro a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and SOA 39%. SOA are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for San-Pédro vs SOA?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.2%), 1-0 (9.4%), 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in San-Pédro vs SOA?

The probability that both San-Pédro and SOA score is 53%. San-Pédro have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, SOA 29%.

How many goals should we expect in San-Pédro vs SOA?

The model expects 2.58 goals (1.24 for San-Pédro, 1.34 for SOA). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is San-Pédro vs SOA played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Ivorian Ligue 1, matchday 4. Venue: Stade Auguste Denise, San Pedro.

What form are San-Pédro and SOA in?

San-Pédro: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). SOA: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between San-Pédro and SOA?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for San-Pédro, 0 for SOA and 2 draws. The most recent ended San-Pédro 0-0 SOA (Mar 1, 2026).

What was the San-Pédro vs SOA result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: San-Pédro 1-0 SOA. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SOA (39%), while victory for San-Pédro was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the San-Pédro vs SOA prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.24 for San-Pédro, 1.34 for SOA) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained