Senegal Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Casa Sport vs Diambars: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Casa Sport 1-1 Diambars. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Diambars (42%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
Casa Sport and Diambars met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 4 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave Casa Sport a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Diambars 42%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.6%) and 1-0 (8.9%).
Casa Sport have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Diambars have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Diambars therefore arrive in far better shape than Casa Sport. On average Casa Sport score 0.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Diambars score 0.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Casa Sport sit 13th with 2 points from 3 games, Diambars 9th with 4 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Casa Sport and Diambars: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Casa Sport or draw" stands at 58%, "Diambars or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Diambars are tipped by our AI model in this Casa Sport v Diambars (42%). In the table, Casa Sport (13th, 2 pts) host Diambars (9th, 4 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Casa Sport – Diambars. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Casa Sport 1-1 Diambars | 12.5% |
| Casa Sport 0-1 Diambars | 10.6% |
| Casa Sport 1-0 Diambars | 8.9% |
| Casa Sport 1-2 Diambars | 8.8% |
| Casa Sport 0-0 Diambars | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.18 expected goals for Casa Sport and 1.41 for Diambars, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Casa Sport keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Diambars in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Casa Sport expected goals | 1.18 |
| Diambars expected goals | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Casa Sport clean sheet | 24% |
| Diambars clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Casa Sport
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guédiawaye · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wally Daan · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | HLM · Senegal Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 4, 2026 | DSC · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| May 22, 2026 | Jaraaf · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Diambars
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | AJEL · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | HLM · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Essamaye · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Zarzis · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Sport | 13 | 2 | 3 |
| Diambars | 9 | 4 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Casa Sport and Diambars: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Casa Sport
No absences reported.
Diambars
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Teungueth 1-0 OuakamNov 5, 2026
- Gorée 1-0 EssamayeNov 7, 2026
- Wally Daan 0-1 AJELNov 7, 2026
- DSC 1-1 PikineNov 7, 2026
- Ouakam 1-0 Génération FootNov 8, 2026
- Teungueth 1-2 HLMNov 8, 2026
- Stade de Mbour 0-0 JaraafNov 8, 2026
- Guédiawaye 1-0 La LinguèreNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Casa Sport vs Diambars prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Casa Sport a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Diambars 42%. Diambars are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Casa Sport vs Diambars?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.6%), 1-0 (8.9%), 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Casa Sport vs Diambars?
The probability that both Casa Sport and Diambars score is 52%. Casa Sport have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Diambars 31%.
How many goals should we expect in Casa Sport vs Diambars?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.18 for Casa Sport, 1.41 for Diambars). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Casa Sport vs Diambars played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 4.
What form are Casa Sport and Diambars in?
Casa Sport: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Diambars: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Casa Sport vs Diambars result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Casa Sport 1-1 Diambars. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Diambars (42%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the Casa Sport vs Diambars prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.18 for Casa Sport, 1.41 for Diambars) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Casa Sport predictions
- All Diambars predictions
- Senegal Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology