Senegal Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Teungueth vs HLM: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Teungueth 1-2 HLM. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Teungueth (44%), while victory for HLM was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Teungueth and HLM met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 4 fixture. Before kick-off, our model gave Teungueth a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and HLM 30%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Teungueth have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 4. HLM are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. HLM therefore arrive in far better shape than Teungueth. On average Teungueth score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; HLM score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Teungueth sit 7th with 4 points from 2 games, HLM 3rd with 7 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Teungueth and HLM: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Teungueth or draw" stands at 70%, "HLM or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Teungueth to edge HLM (44% probability). On recent form, Teungueth have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while HLM have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Teungueth – HLM. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Teungueth 1-1 HLM | 12.4% |
| Teungueth 1-0 HLM | 10.8% |
| Teungueth 2-1 HLM | 9.0% |
| Teungueth 0-1 HLM | 8.5% |
| Teungueth 2-0 HLM | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.45 expected goals for Teungueth and 1.15 for HLM, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Teungueth keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, HLM in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Teungueth expected goals | 1.45 |
| HLM expected goals | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Teungueth clean sheet | 32% |
| HLM clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Teungueth
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Ouakam · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pikine · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Colombe · CAF Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colombe · CAF Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Canchungo · CAF Champions League | 1-0 | W |
HLM
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stade de Mbour · Senegal Ligue 1 | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Diambars · Senegal Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Casa Sport · Senegal Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Pikine · Senegal Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| May 22, 2026 | Sonacos · Senegal Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teungueth | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| HLM | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Teungueth and HLM: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Teungueth
No absences reported.
HLM
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Teungueth 1-0 OuakamNov 5, 2026
- Gorée 1-0 EssamayeNov 7, 2026
- Wally Daan 0-1 AJELNov 7, 2026
- DSC 1-1 PikineNov 7, 2026
- Ouakam 1-0 Génération FootNov 8, 2026
- Casa Sport 1-1 DiambarsNov 8, 2026
- Stade de Mbour 0-0 JaraafNov 8, 2026
- Guédiawaye 1-0 La LinguèreNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Teungueth vs HLM prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Teungueth a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and HLM 30%. Teungueth are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Teungueth vs HLM?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.0%), 0-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Teungueth vs HLM?
The probability that both Teungueth and HLM score is 52%. Teungueth have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, HLM 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Teungueth vs HLM?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.45 for Teungueth, 1.15 for HLM). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Teungueth vs HLM played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Senegal Ligue 1, matchday 4.
What form are Teungueth and HLM in?
Teungueth: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). HLM: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Teungueth vs HLM result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Teungueth 1-2 HLM. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Teungueth (44%), while victory for HLM was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Teungueth vs HLM prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.45 for Teungueth, 1.15 for HLM) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Teungueth predictions
- All HLM predictions
- Senegal Ligue 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology