Ligue 2· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 13:00 (UK time)
Clermont Foot vs Rodez: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Clermont Foot 1-0 Rodez. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rodez (42%), while victory for Clermont Foot was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): correct.
Match analysis
Clermont Foot and Rodez met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Ligue 2, matchday 12 fixture. Venue: Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand. Before kick-off, our model gave Clermont Foot a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rodez 42%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.1%), followed by 0-1 (12.6%) and 1-0 (10.2%).
Clermont Foot have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 13. Over their last 5 matches, Rodez have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Rodez therefore arrive in far better shape than Clermont Foot. On average Clermont Foot score 1.80 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Rodez score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Clermont Foot sit 18th with 8 points from 11 games, Rodez 13th with 13 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Clermont Foot have averaged 0.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.89 for Rodez.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Clermont Foot, 1 for Rodez and 0 draws. The most recent ended Clermont Foot 1-2 Rodez (Feb 13, 2026). In double chance terms, "Clermont Foot or draw" stands at 58%, "Rodez or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Our model backs Rodez to edge Clermont Foot (42% probability). In the table, Clermont Foot (18th, 8 pts) host Rodez (13th, 13 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Clermont Foot – Rodez. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Clermont Foot 1-1 Rodez | 13.1% |
| Clermont Foot 0-1 Rodez | 12.6% |
| Clermont Foot 1-0 Rodez | 10.2% |
| Clermont Foot 0-0 Rodez | 9.8% |
| Clermont Foot 1-2 Rodez | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.04 expected goals for Clermont Foot and 1.28 for Rodez, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 41% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Few goals are expected here. Clermont Foot keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Rodez in 35%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Clermont Foot expected goals | 1.04 |
| Rodez expected goals | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Clermont Foot clean sheet | 28% |
| Rodez clean sheet | 35% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Clermont Foot
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Guingamp · Ligue 2 | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Laval · Ligue 2 | 3-3 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Auxerre · Club Friendlies | 3-4 | L |
Rodez
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Dunkerque · Ligue 2 | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dijon · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Montpellier · Ligue 2 | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Ligue 2 | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont Foot | 18 | 8 | 11 |
| Rodez | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Clermont Foot 1-2 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Rodez 0-1 Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
Out and doubtful
Clermont Foot
No absences reported.
Rodez
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Clermont Foot
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Cantero4/4
- F. Bianchini4/4
- I. Coulibaly4/4
- T. Guivarch4/4
- Y. Salmier4/4
- I. M'Bahia3/4
- R. Kouame3/4
- A. Ackra2/4
- A. Pelmard2/4
- C. Okou2/4
- E. H. Kone2/4
Rodez
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Magnin4/4
- N. Nsingi4/4
- Q. Braat4/4
- R. Lipinski4/4
- L. Laurent3/4
- R. Ponti3/4
- S. Luyambula3/4
- A. Cartillier2/4
- J. Mendes2/4
- K. Nsona2/4
- M. Saka2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Dijon 1-0 RED Star FC 93Nov 6, 2026
- Nancy 1-0 SochauxNov 6, 2026
- Grenoble 3-2 ReimsNov 6, 2026
- Boulogne 3-0 AnnecyNov 6, 2026
- Dunkerque 3-0 GuingampNov 6, 2026
- Montpellier 2-3 MetzNov 6, 2026
- PAU 0-2 NantesNov 7, 2026
- Saint Etienne 2-0 LavalNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Clermont Foot vs Rodez prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Clermont Foot a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rodez 42%. Rodez are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Clermont Foot vs Rodez?
1-1 (13.1%), followed by 0-1 (12.6%), 1-0 (10.2%), 0-0 (9.8%) and 1-2 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Rodez?
The probability that both Clermont Foot and Rodez score is 47%. Clermont Foot have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rodez 35%.
How many goals should we expect in Clermont Foot vs Rodez?
The model expects 2.32 goals (1.04 for Clermont Foot, 1.28 for Rodez). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 41%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Clermont Foot vs Rodez played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 13:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 12. Venue: Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand.
What form are Clermont Foot and Rodez in?
Clermont Foot: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded). Rodez: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Rodez?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Clermont Foot, 1 for Rodez and 0 draws. The most recent ended Clermont Foot 1-2 Rodez (Feb 13, 2026).
What was the Clermont Foot vs Rodez result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Clermont Foot 1-0 Rodez. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rodez (42%), while victory for Clermont Foot was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): correct.
How is the Clermont Foot vs Rodez prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.04 for Clermont Foot, 1.28 for Rodez) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Clermont Foot predictions
- All Rodez predictions
- Ligue 2 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology