Ligue 2· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
PAU vs Nantes: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: PAU 0-2 Nantes. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Nantes at 41%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
Match analysis
PAU and Nantes met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Ligue 2, matchday 12 fixture. Venue: Nouste Camp, Pau. Before kick-off, our model gave PAU a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Nantes 41%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (13.6%), followed by 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (11.3%).
PAU are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 7. Nantes have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. PAU therefore arrive in far better shape than Nantes. On average PAU score 2.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Nantes score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, PAU sit 5th with 20 points from 11 games, Nantes 17th with 9 points from 11. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, PAU have averaged 2.11 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.77 for Nantes.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PAU, 1 for Nantes and 0 draws. The most recent ended PAU 1-4 Nantes (Jan 5, 2024). In double chance terms, "PAU or draw" stands at 59%, "Nantes or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Nantes are favourites for this PAU v Nantes, with a 41% win probability from our model. On recent form, PAU are in good shape (5 wins in 5) while Nantes have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as PAU – Nantes. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PAU 0-1 Nantes | 13.6% |
| PAU 1-1 Nantes | 13.3% |
| PAU 0-0 Nantes | 11.3% |
| PAU 1-0 Nantes | 11.1% |
| PAU 0-2 Nantes | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.98 expected goals for PAU and 1.20 for Nantes, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 37% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Few goals are expected here. PAU keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Nantes in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| PAU expected goals | 0.98 |
| Nantes expected goals | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| PAU clean sheet | 30% |
| Nantes clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
PAU
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Metz · Ligue 2 | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Grenoble · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Guingamp · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Laval · Ligue 2 | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
Nantes
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunkerque · Ligue 2 | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims · Ligue 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne · Ligue 2 | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAU | 5 | 20 | 11 |
| Nantes | 17 | 9 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | PAU 1-4 Nantes | Coupe de France |
Out and doubtful
PAU
No absences reported.
Nantes
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
PAU
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bamba4/4
- B. Maubleu4/4
- C. Fall4/4
- G. Paquiez4/4
- H. Benali4/4
- A. Briancon3/4
- J. Benet3/4
- M. Tourraine3/4
- T. Pouilly3/4
- A. Abdallah2/4
- B. Brahimi2/4
Nantes
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Hachem5/5
- S. Sow5/5
- F. Doucoure4/5
- I. Ganago4/5
- I. Sissoko4/5
- J. Lepenant4/5
- K. Amian4/5
- P. Carlgren4/5
- T. Robinet4/5
- B. Pierret3/5
- F. Guilbert3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Dijon 1-0 RED Star FC 93Nov 6, 2026
- Nancy 1-0 SochauxNov 6, 2026
- Grenoble 3-2 ReimsNov 6, 2026
- Boulogne 3-0 AnnecyNov 6, 2026
- Dunkerque 3-0 GuingampNov 6, 2026
- Montpellier 2-3 MetzNov 6, 2026
- Clermont Foot 1-0 RodezNov 7, 2026
- Saint Etienne 2-0 LavalNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the PAU vs Nantes prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave PAU a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Nantes 41%. Nantes are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for PAU vs Nantes?
0-1 (13.6%), followed by 1-1 (13.3%), 0-0 (11.3%), 1-0 (11.1%) and 0-2 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in PAU vs Nantes?
The probability that both PAU and Nantes score is 44%. PAU have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nantes 38%.
How many goals should we expect in PAU vs Nantes?
The model expects 2.18 goals (0.98 for PAU, 1.20 for Nantes). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is PAU vs Nantes played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 12. Venue: Nouste Camp, Pau.
What form are PAU and Nantes in?
PAU: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded). Nantes: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between PAU and Nantes?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PAU, 1 for Nantes and 0 draws. The most recent ended PAU 1-4 Nantes (Jan 5, 2024).
What was the PAU vs Nantes result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: PAU 0-2 Nantes. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Nantes at 41%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
How is the PAU vs Nantes prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.98 for PAU, 1.20 for Nantes) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.