Ligue 2· Kick-off : Friday, November 6, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Dunkerque vs Guingamp: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Dunkerque 3-0 Guingamp. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Guingamp (40%), while victory for Dunkerque was rated at only 33%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (45%): missed.
Match analysis
Dunkerque and Guingamp met on Friday, November 6, 2026, a Ligue 2, matchday 12 fixture. Venue: Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk. Before kick-off, our model gave Dunkerque a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guingamp 40%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.8%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.7%).
Dunkerque have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Guingamp have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Guingamp therefore arrive in far better shape than Dunkerque. On average Dunkerque score 0.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Guingamp score 1.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Dunkerque sit 12th with 12 points from 11 games, Guingamp 9th with 14 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Dunkerque have averaged 0.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.59 for Guingamp.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Dunkerque, 1 for Guingamp and 2 draws. The most recent ended Dunkerque 0-0 Guingamp (Feb 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Dunkerque or draw" stands at 60%, "Guingamp or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Dunkerque and Guingamp meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 27%). On recent form, Dunkerque have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Guingamp have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Dunkerque – Guingamp. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dunkerque 1-1 Guingamp | 12.8% |
| Dunkerque 0-1 Guingamp | 10.9% |
| Dunkerque 1-0 Guingamp | 9.7% |
| Dunkerque 1-2 Guingamp | 8.5% |
| Dunkerque 0-0 Guingamp | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.17 expected goals for Dunkerque and 1.32 for Guingamp, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 45% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Dunkerque keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Guingamp in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Dunkerque expected goals | 1.17 |
| Guingamp expected goals | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Dunkerque clean sheet | 27% |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Dunkerque
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Rodez · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Metz · Ligue 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nantes · Ligue 2 | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Annecy · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
Guingamp
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Ligue 2 | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 16, 2026 | PAU · Ligue 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nancy · Ligue 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Mans · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| Guingamp | 9 | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Dunkerque 0-0 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Guingamp 2-1 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| May 14, 2025 | Dunkerque 1-0 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Dunkerque 3-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Guingamp 1-1 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
Out and doubtful
Dunkerque
No absences reported.
Guingamp
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Dunkerque
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Lebeau5/5
- A. Linguet5/5
- E. Prutsev5/5
- G. Robail4/5
- O. Toure4/5
- S. Keita4/5
- F. Abner3/5
- J. Morel3/5
- Moha3/5
- O. Sangante3/5
- T. Massock3/5
Guingamp
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hemia4/4
- S. Ben Brahim4/4
- A. Demouchy3/4
- A. Ortola3/4
- D. Louiserre3/4
- E. Koffi3/4
- S. Kielt3/4
- T. Averlant3/4
- T. Ducrocq3/4
- T. Ollila3/4
- D. Gomis2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Reims 2-0 SochauxNov 2, 2026
- RED Star FC 93 1-4 NancyNov 2, 2026
- Dijon 1-0 RED Star FC 93Nov 6, 2026
- Nancy 1-0 SochauxNov 6, 2026
- Grenoble 3-2 ReimsNov 6, 2026
- Boulogne 3-0 AnnecyNov 6, 2026
- Montpellier 2-3 MetzNov 6, 2026
- Clermont Foot 1-0 RodezNov 7, 2026
- PAU 0-2 NantesNov 7, 2026
- Saint Etienne 2-0 LavalNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Dunkerque a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guingamp 40%. Guingamp are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
1-1 (12.8%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%), 1-0 (9.7%), 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-0 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
The probability that both Dunkerque and Guingamp score is 51%. Dunkerque have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Guingamp 31%.
How many goals should we expect in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
The model expects 2.49 goals (1.17 for Dunkerque, 1.32 for Guingamp). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 45%, over 3.5 goals 24%.
When and where is Dunkerque vs Guingamp played?
Friday, November 6, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Ligue 2, matchday 12. Venue: Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk.
What form are Dunkerque and Guingamp in?
Dunkerque: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded). Guingamp: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Dunkerque and Guingamp?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Dunkerque, 1 for Guingamp and 2 draws. The most recent ended Dunkerque 0-0 Guingamp (Feb 6, 2026).
What was the Dunkerque vs Guingamp result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Dunkerque 3-0 Guingamp. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Guingamp (40%), while victory for Dunkerque was rated at only 33%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (45%): missed.
How is the Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for Dunkerque, 1.32 for Guingamp) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Dunkerque predictions
- All Guingamp predictions
- Ligue 2 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology