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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Monday, November 16, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

North Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction: correct score and AI tips

North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia–SloveniaSlovenia

Match analysis

North Macedonia take on Slovenia on Monday, November 16, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. A draw is the single most likely outcome (49%), ahead of North Macedonia (13%) and Slovenia (38%).

North Macedonia have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 0 and conceding 14. Over their last 5 matches, Slovenia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Slovenia. On average North Macedonia score 0.00 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Slovenia score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, North Macedonia sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, Slovenia 2nd with 7 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, North Macedonia have averaged 0.38 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.42 for Slovenia.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for North Macedonia, 0 for Slovenia and 2 draws. The most recent ended North Macedonia 1-1 Slovenia (Jun 1, 2021). In double chance terms, "North Macedonia or draw" stands at 62%, "Slovenia or draw" at 87% and "no draw" at 51%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

13%
North Macedonia (Win)
49%
Draw
38%
Slovenia (Win)

Double chance

62%
North Macedonia or draw
87%
Slovenia or draw
51%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

North Macedonia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Switzerland · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Oct 3, 2026Scotland · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Sep 29, 2026Slovenia · UEFA Nations League0-2L
Sep 26, 2026Switzerland · UEFA Nations League0-3L
Jun 1, 2026Türkiye · International Friendlies0-4L

Slovenia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 6, 2026Scotland · UEFA Nations League2-1W
Oct 3, 2026Switzerland · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 29, 2026North Macedonia · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Sep 26, 2026Scotland · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Jun 7, 2026Croatia · International Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
North Macedonia404
Slovenia274

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2021North Macedonia 1-1 SloveniaInternational Friendlies
Oct 10, 2019North Macedonia 2-1 SloveniaEuro Championship
Mar 24, 2019Slovenia 1-1 North MacedoniaEuro Championship

Out and doubtful

North Macedonia

No absences reported.

Slovenia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

North Macedonia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Elmas4/5
  • S. Dimitrievski4/5
  • A. Elezi3/5
  • A. Meljichi2/5
  • A. Omeragic2/5
  • B. Miovski2/5
  • D. Mitrovski2/5
  • E. Alioski2/5
  • E. Bardhi2/5
  • G. Zajkov2/5
  • J. Atanasov2/5

Slovenia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Bijol5/5
  • J. Oblak5/5
  • D. Sturm4/5
  • E. Janza4/5
  • V. Drkusic4/5
  • Z. Karnicnik4/5
  • Z. Vipotnik4/5
  • A. Gnezda Cerin3/5
  • A. Matko3/5
  • D. Brekalo3/5
  • S. Lovric3/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the North Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction?

Our AI gives North Macedonia a 13% chance of winning, the draw 49% and Slovenia 38%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome.

When and where is North Macedonia vs Slovenia played?

Monday, November 16, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are North Macedonia and Slovenia in?

North Macedonia: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (0 scored, 14 conceded). Slovenia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between North Macedonia and Slovenia?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for North Macedonia, 0 for Slovenia and 2 draws. The most recent ended North Macedonia 1-1 Slovenia (Jun 1, 2021).

Go further

Key terms explained