UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Monday, November 16, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Germany vs Netherlands prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs Netherlands kicks off on Monday, November 16, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Netherlands start as favourites with a 52% chance of victory; Germany are given 25% and the draw 23%.
Germany have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 3. Netherlands are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 6. Netherlands therefore arrive in far better shape than Germany. On average Germany score 0.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Netherlands score 1.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Germany sit 3rd with 5 points from 4 games, Netherlands 1st with 8 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Germany have averaged 1.44 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.60 for Netherlands.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Germany, 1 for Netherlands and 2 draws. The most recent ended Germany 1-0 Netherlands (Oct 14, 2024). In double chance terms, "Germany or draw" stands at 48%, "Netherlands or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Germany
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Greece · UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Serbia · UEFA Nations League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Greece · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Netherlands · UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Paraguay · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
Netherlands
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Serbia · UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Greece · UEFA Nations League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Serbia · UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Germany · UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Morocco · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Netherlands | 1 | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | Germany 1-0 Netherlands | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Netherlands 2-2 Germany | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Germany 2-1 Netherlands | International Friendlies |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Netherlands 1-1 Germany | International Friendlies |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Germany 2-4 Netherlands | Euro Championship |
Out and doubtful
Germany
No absences reported.
Netherlands
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Germany
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Pavlovic2/5
- F. Nmecha2/5
- F. Wirtz2/5
- J. Kimmich2/5
- J. Tah2/5
- N. Brown2/5
- Philipp Treu2/5
- A. Nubel1/5
- A. Rudiger1/5
- Aleksandar Pavlović1/5
- B. Conte1/5
Netherlands
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Verbruggen4/5
- C. Summerville4/5
- D. Dumfries4/5
- M. van de Ven4/5
- V. van Dijk4/5
- C. Gakpo3/5
- J. P. van Hecke3/5
- R. Gravenberch3/5
- B. Brobbey2/5
- J. Veerman2/5
- M. Meerdink2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Germany vs Netherlands prediction?
Our AI gives Germany a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Netherlands 52%. Netherlands are therefore favourites.
When and where is Germany vs Netherlands played?
Monday, November 16, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Germany and Netherlands in?
Germany: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 3 conceded). Netherlands: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Germany and Netherlands?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Germany, 1 for Netherlands and 2 draws. The most recent ended Germany 1-0 Netherlands (Oct 14, 2024).
Go further
- All Germany predictions
- All Netherlands predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology