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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 24, 2026, 12:30 (UK time)

Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction: correct score and AI tips

Aston VillaAston Villa–Manchester CityManchester City

Match analysis

Premier League, matchday 8: the Aston Villa vs Manchester City match is scheduled on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time). Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. With a 65% win probability, Manchester City go in as strong favourites against Aston Villa (20%), with the draw rated at 15%.

Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 15 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Manchester City have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 18 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Aston Villa score 3.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Manchester City score 3.60 and concede 2.00. In the table, Aston Villa sit 12th with 8 points from 7 games, Manchester City 1st with 21 points from 7. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Aston Villa have averaged 2.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.62 for Manchester City.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Aston Villa, 2 for Manchester City and 0 draws. The most recent ended Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa (May 24, 2026). Aston Villa out or doubtful: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka and J. Manzambi (doubtful). Manchester City: A. Semenyo, M. Kovacic (doubtful), M. Nunes (doubtful) and N. O'Reilly (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Aston Villa or draw" stands at 35%, "Manchester City or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 85%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20%
Aston Villa (Win)
15%
Draw
65%
Manchester City (Win)

Double chance

35%
Aston Villa or draw
80%
Manchester City or draw
85%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Aston Villa

DateOpponentScore
Oct 21, 2026Viking · UEFA Champions League3-1W
Oct 17, 2026Newcastle · Premier League1-0W
Oct 14, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League6-0W
Oct 10, 2026Brentford · Premier League2-2D
Oct 2, 2026Sevilla · Club Friendlies3-1W

Manchester City

DateOpponentScore
Oct 20, 2026AEK Athens FC · UEFA Champions League5-1W
Oct 17, 2026Ipswich · Premier League3-2W
Oct 14, 2026Paris Saint Germain · UEFA Champions League2-4L
Oct 11, 2026Liverpool · Premier League3-0W
Sep 20, 2026Sunderland · Premier League5-3W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Aston Villa1287
Manchester City1217

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Manchester City 1-2 Aston VillaPremier League
Oct 26, 2025Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester CityPremier League
Apr 22, 2025Manchester City 2-1 Aston VillaPremier League
Dec 21, 2024Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester CityPremier League
Apr 3, 2024Manchester City 4-1 Aston VillaPremier League

Out and doubtful

Aston Villa

  • A. Onana (out)
  • M. Ruggeri (out)
  • A. Wan-Bissaka (out)
  • J. Manzambi (doubtful)

Manchester City

  • A. Semenyo (out)
  • M. Kovacic (doubtful)
  • M. Nunes (doubtful)
  • N. O'Reilly (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Aston Villa

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

Manchester City

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction?

Our AI gives Aston Villa a 20% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Manchester City 65%. Manchester City are therefore favourites.

When and where is Aston Villa vs Manchester City played?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 8. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham.

What form are Aston Villa and Manchester City in?

Aston Villa: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 4 conceded). Manchester City: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Manchester City?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Aston Villa, 2 for Manchester City and 0 draws. The most recent ended Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa (May 24, 2026).

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Key terms explained