Premier League· Kick-off : Friday, October 23, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Nottingham Forest (43%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
Match analysis
Ipswich and Nottingham Forest met on Friday, October 23, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. Before kick-off, our model gave Ipswich a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nottingham Forest 43%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.0%), followed by 0-1 (12.5%) and 1-0 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Ipswich have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Nottingham Forest have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Ipswich score 1.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Nottingham Forest score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Ipswich sit 10th with 9 points from 7 games, Nottingham Forest 19th with 5 points from 7. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Ipswich have averaged 1.40 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.73 for Nottingham Forest.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ipswich, 3 for Nottingham Forest and 2 draws. The most recent ended Ipswich 2-4 Nottingham Forest (Mar 15, 2025). Ipswich out or doubtful: S. Lukic and J. Taylor. Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus and N. Savona. In double chance terms, "Ipswich or draw" stands at 57%, "Nottingham Forest or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Nottingham Forest are tipped by our AI model in this Ipswich v Nottingham Forest (43%). In the table, Ipswich (10th, 9 pts) host Nottingham Forest (19th, 5 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ipswich – Nottingham Forest. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest | 13.0% |
| Ipswich 0-1 Nottingham Forest | 12.5% |
| Ipswich 1-0 Nottingham Forest | 9.9% |
| Ipswich 0-0 Nottingham Forest | 9.5% |
| Ipswich 1-2 Nottingham Forest | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.04 expected goals for Ipswich and 1.31 for Nottingham Forest, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 42% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Few goals are expected here. Ipswich keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Nottingham Forest in 35%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ipswich expected goals | 1.04 |
| Nottingham Forest expected goals | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 27% |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 35% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Ipswich
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arsenal · EFL Cup | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Premier League | 3-2 | W |
Nottingham Forest
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arsenal · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Premier League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Nottingham Forest | 19 | 5 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ipswich 2-4 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Ipswich | FA Cup |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-0 Ipswich | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Nottingham Forest 2-0 Ipswich | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Ipswich
- S. Lukic (out)
- J. Taylor (out)
Nottingham Forest
- Igor Jesus (out)
- N. Savona (out)
Most regular starters
Ipswich
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Ouattara4/5
- C. Walton4/5
- Emersonn4/5
- I. Diop4/5
- J. Enciso4/5
- L. Davis4/5
- D. O'Shea3/5
- E. Palacios3/5
- Florentino3/5
- J. Greaves3/5
- S. Lukic3/5
Nottingham Forest
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Ndoye5/5
- J. McAtee5/5
- L. Delap5/5
- M. Sels5/5
- Murillo5/5
- N. Williams5/5
- X. Schlager5/5
- M. Gibbs-White4/5
- O. Diomande4/5
- D. Munoz3/5
- O. Aina3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Tottenham 3-1 CoventryOct 19, 2026
- Aston Villa – Manchester CityOct 24, 2026
- Coventry – FulhamOct 24, 2026
- Arsenal – EvertonOct 24, 2026
- Chelsea – TottenhamOct 24, 2026
- Liverpool – BrightonOct 25, 2026
- Hull City – BrentfordOct 25, 2026
- Manchester United – BournemouthOct 25, 2026
- Crystal Palace – NewcastleOct 25, 2026
- Sunderland – LeedsOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ipswich a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nottingham Forest 43%. Nottingham Forest are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
1-1 (13.0%), followed by 0-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (9.9%), 0-0 (9.5%) and 1-2 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
The probability that both Ipswich and Nottingham Forest score is 47%. Ipswich have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nottingham Forest 35%.
How many goals should we expect in Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
The model expects 2.35 goals (1.04 for Ipswich, 1.31 for Nottingham Forest). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest played?
Friday, October 23, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 8. Venue: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich.
What form are Ipswich and Nottingham Forest in?
Ipswich: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 11 conceded). Nottingham Forest: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Nottingham Forest?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ipswich, 3 for Nottingham Forest and 2 draws. The most recent ended Ipswich 2-4 Nottingham Forest (Mar 15, 2025).
What was the Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Nottingham Forest (43%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
How is the Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.04 for Ipswich, 1.31 for Nottingham Forest) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ipswich predictions
- All Nottingham Forest predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Ipswich cards
- Nottingham Forest cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology