Premier League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Premier League, matchday 8: Manchester United vs Bournemouth kicks off on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester. Our model makes Bournemouth clear favourites: a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 20% for Manchester United.
Manchester United have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Bournemouth have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Bournemouth therefore arrive in far better shape than Manchester United. On average Manchester United score 0.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Bournemouth score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Manchester United sit 13th with 7 points from 7 games, Bournemouth 15th with 6 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Manchester United have averaged 1.07 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.53 for Bournemouth.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Manchester United, 1 for Bournemouth and 3 draws. The most recent ended Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United (Mar 20, 2026). Manchester United out or doubtful: P. Dorgu, K. Mainoo, B. Sesko, L. Shaw, M. Ugarte, T. Heaton (doubtful), A. Heaven (doubtful) and L. Martinez (doubtful). Bournemouth: J. Araujo, A. Scott, A. Toth, E. J. Kroupi (doubtful) and V. Milosavljevic (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Manchester United or draw" stands at 40%, "Bournemouth or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Manchester United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como · UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leeds · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
Bournemouth
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | AC Milan · UEFA Europa League | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 1-5 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 13 | 7 | 7 |
| Bournemouth | 15 | 6 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Manchester United 4-4 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Manchester United 4-1 Bournemouth | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Manchester United
- P. Dorgu (out)
- K. Mainoo (out)
- B. Sesko (out)
- L. Shaw (out)
- M. Ugarte (out)
- T. Heaton (doubtful)
- A. Heaven (doubtful)
- L. Martinez (doubtful)
Bournemouth
- J. Araujo (out)
- A. Scott (out)
- A. Toth (out)
- E. J. Kroupi (doubtful)
- V. Milosavljevic (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Manchester United
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Mbeumo5/5
- S. Lammens5/5
- Y. Tielemans5/5
- B. Fernandes4/5
- H. Maguire4/5
- L. Martinez4/5
- Andrey Santos3/5
- D. Dalot3/5
- L. Yoro3/5
- A. Diallo2/5
- C. Baleba2/5
Bournemouth
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Evanilson5/5
- M. Tavernier5/5
- T. Adams5/5
- A. Smith4/5
- A. Truffert4/5
- J. Hill4/5
- R. Christie4/5
- A. Silva3/5
- D. Petrovic3/5
- Rayan3/5
- António Silva2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham ForestOct 23, 2026
- Aston Villa – Manchester CityOct 24, 2026
- Coventry – FulhamOct 24, 2026
- Arsenal – EvertonOct 24, 2026
- Chelsea – TottenhamOct 24, 2026
- Liverpool – BrightonOct 25, 2026
- Hull City – BrentfordOct 25, 2026
- Crystal Palace – NewcastleOct 25, 2026
- Sunderland – LeedsOct 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction?
Our AI gives Manchester United a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bournemouth 60%. Bournemouth are therefore favourites.
When and where is Manchester United vs Bournemouth played?
Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 8. Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester.
What form are Manchester United and Bournemouth in?
Manchester United: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded). Bournemouth: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Bournemouth?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Manchester United, 1 for Bournemouth and 3 draws. The most recent ended Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United (Mar 20, 2026).
Go further
- All Manchester United predictions
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