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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 25, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)

Sunderland vs Leeds prediction: correct score and AI tips

SunderlandSunderland–LeedsLeeds

Match analysis

Premier League, matchday 8: the Sunderland vs Leeds match is scheduled on Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time). Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Sunderland 42%, Leeds 33% and the draw 25%.

Sunderland have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Leeds have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sunderland score 1.20 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Leeds score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Sunderland sit 20th with 4 points from 7 games, Leeds 7th with 10 points from 7. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sunderland have averaged 1.85 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.05 for Leeds.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sunderland, 2 for Leeds and 2 draws. The most recent ended Sunderland 0-1 Leeds (Jul 31, 2026). Sunderland out or doubtful: K. Danso (suspended), R. Mundle, D. Ballard (doubtful), W. Isidor (doubtful) and T. Meunier (doubtful). Leeds: M. Joseph, J. Rodon and D. James (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Sunderland or draw" stands at 67%, "Leeds or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

42%
Sunderland (Win)
25%
Draw
33%
Leeds (Win)

Double chance

67%
Sunderland or draw
58%
Leeds or draw
75%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sunderland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 22, 2026Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Oct 18, 2026Bournemouth · Premier League0-2L
Oct 15, 2026Torreense · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Oct 10, 2026Brighton · Premier League0-2L
Sep 20, 2026Manchester City · Premier League3-5L

Leeds

DateOpponentScore
Oct 18, 2026Manchester United · Premier League1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Arsenal · Premier League1-2L
Sep 20, 2026Crystal Palace · Premier League0-0D
Sep 14, 2026Newcastle · Premier League4-1W
Sep 9, 2026Chelsea · EFL Cup3-6L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sunderland2047
Leeds7107

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Sunderland 0-1 LeedsPremier League - Summer Series
Mar 3, 2026Leeds 0-1 SunderlandPremier League
Dec 28, 2025Sunderland 1-1 LeedsPremier League
Feb 17, 2025Leeds 2-1 SunderlandChampionship
Oct 4, 2024Sunderland 2-2 LeedsChampionship

Out and doubtful

Sunderland

  • K. Danso (suspended)
  • R. Mundle (out)
  • D. Ballard (doubtful)
  • W. Isidor (doubtful)
  • T. Meunier (doubtful)

Leeds

  • M. Joseph (out)
  • J. Rodon (out)
  • D. James (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Sunderland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

Leeds

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Sunderland vs Leeds prediction?

Our AI gives Sunderland a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leeds 33%. Sunderland are therefore slight favourites.

When and where is Sunderland vs Leeds played?

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 8. Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

What form are Sunderland and Leeds in?

Sunderland: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded). Leeds: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Leeds?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Sunderland, 2 for Leeds and 2 draws. The most recent ended Sunderland 0-1 Leeds (Jul 31, 2026).

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Key terms explained