Premier League· Kick-off : Monday, October 19, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Tottenham vs Coventry prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Tottenham take on Coventry on Monday, October 19, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a Premier League, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Tottenham 36%, Coventry 36% and the draw 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.0%), ahead of 1-0 (10.9%) and 0-1 (10.8%).
Tottenham have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Coventry have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Tottenham score 0.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Coventry score 0.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Tottenham sit 20th with 2 points from 5 games, Coventry 18th with 3 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Tottenham have averaged 1.09 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.33 for Coventry.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Tottenham and Coventry: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Tottenham out or doubtful: W. Odobert, Richarlison, X. Simons, D. Kulusevski (doubtful), M. Mudryk (doubtful), J. P. van Hecke (doubtful) and M. van de Ven (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Tottenham or draw" stands at 64%, "Coventry or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Tottenham and Coventry: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Tottenham (20th, 2 pts) host Coventry (18th, 3 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Tottenham – Coventry. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tottenham 1-1 Coventry | 13.0% |
| Tottenham 1-0 Coventry | 10.9% |
| Tottenham 0-1 Coventry | 10.8% |
| Tottenham 0-0 Coventry | 9.0% |
| Tottenham 2-1 Coventry | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.41 goals in total (1.21 for Tottenham, 1.20 for Coventry): over 2.5 goals has a 43% probability and both teams to score 49%. Tottenham keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Coventry in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Tottenham expected goals | 1.21 |
| Coventry expected goals | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Tottenham clean sheet | 30% |
| Coventry clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Tottenham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa · Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool · EFL Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
Coventry
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aston Villa · EFL Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton · Premier League | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hull City · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 20 | 2 | 5 |
| Coventry | 18 | 3 | 5 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Tottenham and Coventry: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Tottenham
- W. Odobert (out)
- Richarlison (out)
- X. Simons (out)
- D. Kulusevski (doubtful)
- M. Mudryk (doubtful)
- J. P. van Hecke (doubtful)
- M. van de Ven (doubtful)
Coventry
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Tottenham
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Bentancur5/5
- M. van de Ven4/5
- S. Tonali4/5
- A. Gray3/5
- A. Kinsky3/5
- A. Robertson3/5
- J. P. van Hecke3/5
- M. Tel3/5
- O. Marmoush3/5
- C. Gallagher2/5
- D. Solanke2/5
Coventry
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Thomas5/5
- A. Amenda4/5
- C. Rushworth4/5
- E. Mason-Clark4/5
- J. Dasilva4/5
- J. Rudoni4/5
- M. Grimes4/5
- E. Pinnock3/5
- F. Onyeka3/5
- M. van Ewijk3/5
- T. Awoniyi3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Everton – ChelseaOct 17, 2026
- Fulham – Hull CityOct 17, 2026
- Manchester City – IpswichOct 17, 2026
- Brentford – LiverpoolOct 17, 2026
- Newcastle – Aston VillaOct 17, 2026
- Bournemouth – SunderlandOct 18, 2026
- Brighton – Crystal PalaceOct 18, 2026
- Leeds – Manchester UnitedOct 18, 2026
- Nottingham Forest – ArsenalOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Tottenham vs Coventry prediction?
Our AI gives Tottenham a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Coventry 36%. Tottenham are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Tottenham vs Coventry?
1-1 (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (10.9%), 0-1 (10.8%), 0-0 (9.0%) and 2-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Coventry?
The probability that both Tottenham and Coventry score is 49%. Tottenham have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Coventry 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Tottenham vs Coventry?
The model expects 2.41 goals (1.21 for Tottenham, 1.20 for Coventry). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.
When and where is Tottenham vs Coventry played?
Monday, October 19, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 7. Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
What form are Tottenham and Coventry in?
Tottenham: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded). Coventry: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 10 conceded).
How is the Tottenham vs Coventry prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.21 for Tottenham, 1.20 for Coventry) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Tottenham predictions
- All Coventry predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology