Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Manchester City vs Ipswich prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Manchester City take on Ipswich on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Premier League, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester. Our model makes Manchester City clear favourites: a 88% chance of winning, against 8% for the draw and 4% for Ipswich. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (9.5%), followed by 4-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%).
Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 3. Ipswich have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 14. Manchester City therefore arrive in far better shape than Ipswich. On average Manchester City score 2.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Ipswich score 1.40 and concede 2.80. In the table, Manchester City sit 1st with 15 points from 5 games, Ipswich 11th with 6 points from 5. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Manchester City have averaged 2.09 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.38 for Ipswich.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Manchester City, 0 for Ipswich and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ipswich 0-6 Manchester City (Jan 19, 2025). Ipswich: I. Fatawu (suspended). In double chance terms, "Manchester City or draw" stands at 96%, "Ipswich or draw" at 12% and "no draw" at 92%.
In short : Our model backs Manchester City to edge Ipswich (88% probability). On recent form, Manchester City are in good shape (5 wins in 5) while Ipswich are struggling (4 losses in 5). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 83%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Manchester City – Ipswich. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Manchester City 3-0 Ipswich | 9.5% |
| Manchester City 4-0 Ipswich | 8.9% |
| Manchester City 2-0 Ipswich | 7.7% |
| Manchester City 3-1 Ipswich | 7.4% |
| Manchester City 4-1 Ipswich | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.71 expected goals for Manchester City and 0.78 for Ipswich, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 83% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. Manchester City keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, Ipswich in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Manchester City expected goals | 3.71 |
| Ipswich expected goals | 0.78 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 66% |
| Manchester City clean sheet | 46% |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Manchester City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 5-3 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Norwich · EFL Cup | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | FC Porto · UEFA Champions League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Coventry · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
Ipswich
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arsenal · EFL Cup | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Premier League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Liverpool · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 2-5 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 1 | 15 | 5 |
| Ipswich | 11 | 6 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ipswich 0-6 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Manchester City 4-1 Ipswich | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Manchester City
No absences reported.
Ipswich
- I. Fatawu (suspended)
Most regular starters
Manchester City
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Cherki5/5
- A. Semenyo4/5
- E. Haaland4/5
- G. Donnarumma4/5
- J. Gvardiol4/5
- E. Anderson3/5
- E. Fernandez3/5
- M. Guehi3/5
- R. Dias3/5
- A. Bouaddi2/5
- A. Khusanov2/5
Ipswich
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Emersonn4/5
- I. Diop4/5
- J. Enciso4/5
- J. Greaves4/5
- L. Davis4/5
- D. O'Shea3/5
- E. Palacios3/5
- I. Fatawu3/5
- K. Scherpen3/5
- S. Lukic3/5
- A. Ouattara2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Fulham – Hull CityOct 17, 2026
- Brentford – LiverpoolOct 17, 2026
- Newcastle – Aston VillaOct 17, 2026
- Bournemouth – SunderlandOct 18, 2026
- Brighton – Crystal PalaceOct 18, 2026
- Leeds – Manchester UnitedOct 18, 2026
- Nottingham Forest – ArsenalOct 18, 2026
- Tottenham – CoventryOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Manchester City vs Ipswich prediction?
Our AI gives Manchester City a 88% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Ipswich 4%. Manchester City are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Manchester City vs Ipswich?
3-0 (9.5%), followed by 4-0 (8.9%), 2-0 (7.7%), 3-1 (7.4%) and 4-1 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Ipswich?
The probability that both Manchester City and Ipswich score is 53%. Manchester City have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ipswich 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Manchester City vs Ipswich?
The model expects 4.49 goals (3.71 for Manchester City, 0.78 for Ipswich). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 83%, over 3.5 goals 66%.
When and where is Manchester City vs Ipswich played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 7. Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
What form are Manchester City and Ipswich in?
Manchester City: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 3 conceded). Ipswich: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 14 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Ipswich?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Manchester City, 0 for Ipswich and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ipswich 0-6 Manchester City (Jan 19, 2025).
How is the Manchester City vs Ipswich prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.71 for Manchester City, 0.78 for Ipswich) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Manchester City predictions
- All Ipswich predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology