Premier League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction: correct score and AI tips

Nottingham Forest–Arsenal

Match analysis

Premier League, matchday 7: the Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal match is scheduled on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time). Venue: City Ground, Nottingham. With a 78% win probability, Arsenal go in as strong favourites against Nottingham Forest (9%), with the draw rated at 13%. The most likely correct score is 0-3 (8.2%), ahead of 1-3 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.2%).

Nottingham Forest have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Arsenal have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Arsenal. On average Nottingham Forest score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Arsenal score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Nottingham Forest sit 13th with 5 points from 5 games, Arsenal 2nd with 12 points from 5. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Nottingham Forest have averaged 1.47 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.05 for Arsenal.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nottingham Forest, 3 for Arsenal and 2 draws. The most recent ended Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal (Jan 17, 2026). Arsenal: E. Konsa, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis, K. Havertz (doubtful) and C. Mosquera (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Nottingham Forest or draw" stands at 22%, "Arsenal or draw" at 91% and "no draw" at 87%.

In short : Arsenal are tipped by our AI model in this Nottingham Forest v Arsenal (78%). In the table, Nottingham Forest (13th, 5 pts) host Arsenal (2nd, 12 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-3.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

Double chance

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Nottingham Forest – Arsenal. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (8.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.02 goals in total (1.00 for Nottingham Forest, 3.02 for Arsenal): over 2.5 goals has a 77% probability and both teams to score 60%. Everything points to an open game. Nottingham Forest keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, Arsenal in 37%.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Standings before the match

Head-to-head

Out and doubtful

Most regular starters

Other matches in this competition

• Everton – ChelseaOct 17, 2026
• Fulham – Hull CityOct 17, 2026
• Manchester City – IpswichOct 17, 2026
• Brentford – LiverpoolOct 17, 2026
• Newcastle – Aston VillaOct 17, 2026
• Bournemouth – SunderlandOct 18, 2026
• Brighton – Crystal PalaceOct 18, 2026
• Leeds – Manchester UnitedOct 18, 2026
• Tottenham – CoventryOct 19, 2026

Frequently asked questions

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Key terms explained

• Correct score
• 1X2 (match result)
• Double chance
• BTTS (both teams to score)
• Over/Under (total goals)
• Poisson distribution
• Recent form
• xG (Expected Goals)
• Head-to-head (H2H)