Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Brentford vs Liverpool prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brentford take on Liverpool on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Premier League, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Brentford Community Stadium, London. The edge goes to Brentford (45%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Liverpool win (30%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Brentford are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Liverpool. On average Brentford score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Liverpool score 1.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Brentford sit 4th with 9 points from 5 games, Liverpool 6th with 9 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Brentford have averaged 1.44 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.32 for Liverpool.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Brentford, 3 for Liverpool and 1 draw. The most recent ended Liverpool 1-1 Brentford (May 24, 2026). Brentford out or doubtful: K. Furo, S. van den Berg, N. Collins (doubtful), M. Damsgaard (doubtful), J. Dasilva (doubtful), M. Jensen (doubtful) and D. Ouattara (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Brentford or draw" stands at 70%, "Liverpool or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Brentford to edge Liverpool (45% probability). On recent form, Brentford have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Liverpool are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 56%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Brentford – Liverpool. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Brentford 1-1 Liverpool | 11.8% |
| Brentford 1-0 Liverpool | 9.7% |
| Brentford 2-1 Liverpool | 9.2% |
| Brentford 0-1 Liverpool | 7.6% |
| Brentford 2-0 Liverpool | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.77 goals in total (1.55 for Brentford, 1.22 for Liverpool): over 2.5 goals has a 52% probability and both teams to score 56%. Brentford keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Liverpool in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Brentford expected goals | 1.55 |
| Liverpool expected goals | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Brentford clean sheet | 30% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Brentford
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading · EFL Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Leeds · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
Liverpool
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham · EFL Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ipswich · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| Liverpool | 6 | 9 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Liverpool 1-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Brentford 3-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Brentford 0-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Liverpool 2-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Brentford 1-4 Liverpool | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Brentford
- K. Furo (out)
- S. van den Berg (out)
- N. Collins (doubtful)
- M. Damsgaard (doubtful)
- J. Dasilva (doubtful)
- M. Jensen (doubtful)
- D. Ouattara (doubtful)
Liverpool
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Brentford
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- K. Ajer5/5
- K. Lewis-Potter5/5
- C. Kelleher4/5
- K. Schade4/5
- M. Damsgaard4/5
- M. Kayode4/5
- V. Janelt4/5
- I. Thiago3/5
- J. Anthony3/5
- M. Sangare3/5
- D. Ouattara2/5
Liverpool
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Isak4/5
- A. Mac Allister4/5
- D. Szoboszlai4/5
- F. Wirtz4/5
- J. Jacquet4/5
- M. Kerkez4/5
- V. van Dijk4/5
- Alisson3/5
- B. Barcola3/5
- C. Gakpo3/5
- R. Araujo3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Everton – ChelseaOct 17, 2026
- Fulham – Hull CityOct 17, 2026
- Manchester City – IpswichOct 17, 2026
- Newcastle – Aston VillaOct 17, 2026
- Bournemouth – SunderlandOct 18, 2026
- Brighton – Crystal PalaceOct 18, 2026
- Leeds – Manchester UnitedOct 18, 2026
- Nottingham Forest – ArsenalOct 18, 2026
- Tottenham – CoventryOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Brentford vs Liverpool prediction?
Our AI gives Brentford a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Liverpool 30%. Brentford are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Brentford vs Liverpool?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.2%), 0-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Liverpool?
The probability that both Brentford and Liverpool score is 56%. Brentford have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Liverpool 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Brentford vs Liverpool?
The model expects 2.77 goals (1.55 for Brentford, 1.22 for Liverpool). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Brentford vs Liverpool played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 7. Venue: Brentford Community Stadium, London.
What form are Brentford and Liverpool in?
Brentford: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Liverpool: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Liverpool?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Brentford, 3 for Liverpool and 1 draw. The most recent ended Liverpool 1-1 Brentford (May 24, 2026).
How is the Brentford vs Liverpool prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for Brentford, 1.22 for Liverpool) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Brentford predictions
- All Liverpool predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology