Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Fulham vs Hull City prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Premier League, matchday 7: Fulham vs Hull City kicks off on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Craven Cottage, London. The edge goes to Fulham (52%), ahead of the draw (27%) and a Hull City win (21%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.5%), ahead of 1-1 (12.2%) and 2-0 (10.8%).
Fulham have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Hull City have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Fulham score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Hull City score 0.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Fulham sit 19th with 2 points from 5 games, Hull City 8th with 8 points from 5. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Fulham have averaged 1.90 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.65 for Hull City.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Fulham, 1 for Hull City and 0 draws. The most recent ended Hull City 0-2 Fulham (Jan 7, 2023). Fulham out or doubtful: T. Cairney (doubtful) and K. Tete (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Fulham or draw" stands at 79%, "Hull City or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Our model backs Fulham to edge Hull City (52% probability). In the table, Fulham (19th, 2 pts) host Hull City (8th, 8 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fulham – Hull City. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham 1-0 Hull City | 14.5% |
| Fulham 1-1 Hull City | 12.2% |
| Fulham 2-0 Hull City | 10.8% |
| Fulham 0-0 Hull City | 9.8% |
| Fulham 2-1 Hull City | 9.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.32 goals in total (1.48 for Fulham, 0.84 for Hull City): over 2.5 goals has a 41% probability and both teams to score 44%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Fulham keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Hull City in 23%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fulham expected goals | 1.48 |
| Hull City expected goals | 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 43% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 23% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Fulham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham · EFL Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Liverpool · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Hull City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland · EFL Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aston Villa · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Coventry · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 19 | 2 | 5 |
| Hull City | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | Hull City 0-2 Fulham | FA Cup |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Hull City 0-1 Fulham | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Fulham 2-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Hull City 0-1 Fulham | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Fulham 0-3 Hull City | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Fulham
- T. Cairney (doubtful)
- K. Tete (doubtful)
Hull City
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Fulham
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Robinson5/5
- T. Castagne5/5
- A. Iwobi4/5
- B. Leno4/5
- C. Bassey4/5
- G. Garcia3/5
- J. Andersen3/5
- J. King3/5
- O. Bobb3/5
- S. Berge3/5
- S. Charles3/5
Hull City
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Coyle5/5
- J. Egan4/5
- K. Tzolakis4/5
- M. Belloumi4/5
- N. Mendy4/5
- O. McBurnie4/5
- R. Giles4/5
- R. Slater4/5
- S. Ajayi4/5
- E. Stroud3/5
- M. Crooks3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Manchester City – IpswichOct 17, 2026
- Brentford – LiverpoolOct 17, 2026
- Newcastle – Aston VillaOct 17, 2026
- Bournemouth – SunderlandOct 18, 2026
- Brighton – Crystal PalaceOct 18, 2026
- Leeds – Manchester UnitedOct 18, 2026
- Nottingham Forest – ArsenalOct 18, 2026
- Tottenham – CoventryOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Fulham vs Hull City prediction?
Our AI gives Fulham a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Hull City 21%. Fulham are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Fulham vs Hull City?
1-0 (14.5%), followed by 1-1 (12.2%), 2-0 (10.8%), 0-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.0%).
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Hull City?
The probability that both Fulham and Hull City score is 44%. Fulham have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hull City 23%.
How many goals should we expect in Fulham vs Hull City?
The model expects 2.32 goals (1.48 for Fulham, 0.84 for Hull City). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 41%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Fulham vs Hull City played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 7. Venue: Craven Cottage, London.
What form are Fulham and Hull City in?
Fulham: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Hull City: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Hull City?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Fulham, 1 for Hull City and 0 draws. The most recent ended Hull City 0-2 Fulham (Jan 7, 2023).
How is the Fulham vs Hull City prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.48 for Fulham, 0.84 for Hull City) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Fulham predictions
- All Hull City predictions
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- Today’s predictions
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