Premier League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction: correct score and AI tips

Brighton–Crystal Palace

Match analysis

Premier League, matchday 7: the Brighton vs Crystal Palace match is scheduled on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Amex Stadium, Brighton. Our model makes Brighton clear favourites: a 92% chance of winning, against 6% for the draw and 2% for Crystal Palace. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (10.7%), followed by 4-0 (10.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Brighton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Crystal Palace have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Brighton therefore arrive in far better shape than Crystal Palace. On average Brighton score 3.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Crystal Palace score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Brighton sit 3rd with 10 points from 5 games, Crystal Palace 15th with 4 points from 5. 12 places separate the two sides.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Brighton, 3 for Crystal Palace and 1 draw. The most recent ended Brighton 0-1 Crystal Palace (Feb 8, 2026). Brighton out or doubtful: E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, S. Tzimas, F. Azeez (doubtful), L. Dunk (doubtful), J. Hinshelwood (doubtful), K. Mitoma (doubtful) and P. Struijk (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Brighton or draw" stands at 98%, "Crystal Palace or draw" at 8% and "no draw" at 94%.

In short : Our model backs Brighton to edge Crystal Palace (92% probability). In the table, Brighton (3rd, 10 pts) host Crystal Palace (15th, 4 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 83%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

Double chance

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Brighton – Crystal Palace. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 3.90 expected goals for Brighton and 0.63 for Crystal Palace, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 83% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Goals look likely in this one. Brighton keep a clean sheet in 53% of scenarios, Crystal Palace in 2%.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Standings before the match

Head-to-head

Out and doubtful

Most regular starters

Other matches in this competition

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• Fulham – Hull CityOct 17, 2026
• Manchester City – IpswichOct 17, 2026
• Brentford – LiverpoolOct 17, 2026
• Newcastle – Aston VillaOct 17, 2026
• Bournemouth – SunderlandOct 18, 2026
• Leeds – Manchester UnitedOct 18, 2026
• Nottingham Forest – ArsenalOct 18, 2026
• Tottenham – CoventryOct 19, 2026

Frequently asked questions

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• All Brighton predictions
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• Our methodology

Key terms explained

• Correct score
• 1X2 (match result)
• Double chance
• BTTS (both teams to score)
• Over/Under (total goals)
• Poisson distribution
• Recent form
• xG (Expected Goals)
• Head-to-head (H2H)