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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Thursday, October 29, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

Bahia vs Sao Paulo prediction: correct score and AI tips

BahiaBahia–Sao PauloSao Paulo

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33: the Bahia vs Sao Paulo match is scheduled on Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time). Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador. Our model makes Bahia clear favourites: a 64% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 19% for Sao Paulo.

Over their last 5 matches, Bahia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Bahia score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Sao Paulo score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Bahia sit 5th with 49 points from 30 games, Sao Paulo 10th with 39 points from 30. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Bahia have averaged 2.06 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.80 for Sao Paulo.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bahia, 0 for Sao Paulo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia (May 3, 2026). Bahia out or doubtful: Leo Vieira. Sao Paulo: N. Bosshardt, Buta, Djhordney (suspended), D. Duarte, Ferreira and Luciano. In double chance terms, "Bahia or draw" stands at 81%, "Sao Paulo or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 83%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

64%
Bahia (Win)
17%
Draw
19%
Sao Paulo (Win)

Double chance

81%
Bahia or draw
36%
Sao Paulo or draw
83%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bahia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 9, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Remo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 5, 2026RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A3-2W

Sao Paulo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Oct 8, 2026Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A0-2L
Oct 3, 2026Santos · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 20, 2026Internacional · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Sep 16, 2026Boca Juniors · CONMEBOL Sudamericana1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bahia54930
Sao Paulo103930

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Sao Paulo 2-2 BahiaBrasileirão Série A

Out and doubtful

Bahia

  • Leo Vieira (out)

Sao Paulo

  • N. Bosshardt (out)
  • Buta (out)
  • Djhordney (suspended)
  • D. Duarte (out)
  • Ferreira (out)
  • Luciano (out)

Most regular starters

Bahia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Alejo Véliz5/5
  • David Duarte5/5
  • Erick Pulga5/5
  • Luciano Juba5/5
  • Rodrigo Nestor5/5
  • Ronaldo5/5
  • Cristian Olivera4/5
  • Nicolás Acevedo4/5
  • Jean Lucas3/5
  • Kanu3/5
  • Marcos Victor3/5

Sao Paulo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Artur5/5
  • D. Bobadilla3/5
  • Luciano3/5
  • Pedro Lima3/5
  • R. Arboleda3/5
  • Rafael3/5
  • Sabino3/5
  • Carlos Coronel2/5
  • G. Santana2/5
  • Iago2/5
  • Iago Borduchi2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Bahia vs Sao Paulo prediction?

Our AI gives Bahia a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sao Paulo 19%. Bahia are therefore favourites.

When and where is Bahia vs Sao Paulo played?

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.

What form are Bahia and Sao Paulo in?

Bahia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Sao Paulo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Sao Paulo?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bahia, 0 for Sao Paulo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sao Paulo 2-2 Bahia (May 3, 2026).

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