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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Friday, October 30, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Gremio take on Atletico Paranaense on Friday, October 30, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33 fixture. Venue: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre. With a 69% win probability, Atletico Paranaense go in as strong favourites against Gremio (12%), with the draw rated at 19%.

Gremio have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Paranaense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with Atletico Paranaense. On average Gremio score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Atletico Paranaense score 2.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Gremio sit 18th with 31 points from 30 games, Atletico Paranaense 3rd with 53 points from 30. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Gremio have averaged 1.00 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.79 for Atletico Paranaense.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gremio, 0 for Atletico Paranaense and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Paranaense 0-0 Gremio (May 3, 2026). Gremio out or doubtful: J. Cabral, Wallace (suspended) and Matheus Nascimento (doubtful). Atletico Paranaense: G. Benavidez, K. A. Calderon Vargas, Dantas and C. Teran. In double chance terms, "Gremio or draw" stands at 31%, "Atletico Paranaense or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 81%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

12%
Gremio (Win)
19%
Draw
69%
Atletico Paranaense (Win)

Double chance

31%
Gremio or draw
88%
Atletico Paranaense or draw
81%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Gremio

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Internacional · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Oct 7, 2026Remo · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Sep 20, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A0-0D
Sep 16, 2026Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A2-3L
Sep 12, 2026Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A1-2L

Atletico Paranaense

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2026Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A4-1W
Oct 9, 2026Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Sep 20, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 12, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A3-3D
Sep 6, 2026Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A1-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Gremio183130
Atletico Paranaense35330

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Atletico Paranaense 0-0 GremioBrasileirão Série A

Out and doubtful

Gremio

  • J. Cabral (out)
  • Wallace (suspended)
  • Matheus Nascimento (doubtful)

Atletico Paranaense

  • G. Benavidez (out)
  • K. A. Calderon Vargas (out)
  • Dantas (out)
  • C. Teran (out)

Most regular starters

Gremio

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Villasanti5/5
  • Wallace5/5
  • Weverton5/5
  • Carlos Vinicius3/5
  • Diego Caito3/5
  • E. Noriega3/5
  • F. Amuzu3/5
  • C. Pavon2/5
  • C. Pavón2/5
  • Caio Paulista2/5
  • Carlos Vinícius2/5

Atletico Paranaense

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Arthur Dias5/5
  • Luiz Gustavo5/5
  • Mycael5/5
  • Gilberto4/5
  • Jádson4/5
  • Dantas3/5
  • João Cruz3/5
  • Leozinho3/5
  • Steven Mendoza3/5
  • Juan Felipe Aguirre2/5
  • K. Viveros2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense prediction?

Our AI gives Gremio a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico Paranaense 69%. Atletico Paranaense are therefore favourites.

When and where is Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense played?

Friday, October 30, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33. Venue: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.

What form are Gremio and Atletico Paranaense in?

Gremio: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Atletico Paranaense: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Atletico Paranaense?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gremio, 0 for Atletico Paranaense and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Paranaense 0-0 Gremio (May 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained