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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Thursday, October 29, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33: Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo kicks off on Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time). Venue: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro. Flamengo start as favourites with a 46% chance of victory; Vasco DA Gama are given 20% and the draw 34%.

Vasco DA Gama are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 1. Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Vasco DA Gama therefore arrive in far better shape than Flamengo. On average Vasco DA Gama score 2.00 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Flamengo score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Vasco DA Gama sit 15th with 35 points from 29 games, Flamengo 1st with 64 points from 30. 14 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Vasco DA Gama have averaged 0.67 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.91 for Flamengo.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vasco DA Gama, 1 for Flamengo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Flamengo 2-2 Vasco DA Gama (May 3, 2026). Vasco DA Gama out or doubtful: Mateus Carvalho, F. Colidio (doubtful) and C. Cuesta (doubtful). Flamengo: Ayrton Lucas, Danilo, Evertton Araujo and G. de Arrascaeta. In double chance terms, "Vasco DA Gama or draw" stands at 54%, "Flamengo or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 66%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20%
Vasco DA Gama (Win)
34%
Draw
46%
Flamengo (Win)

Double chance

54%
Vasco DA Gama or draw
80%
Flamengo or draw
66%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Vasco DA Gama

DateOpponentScore
Oct 14, 2026Boca Juniors · CONMEBOL Sudamericana1-0W
Oct 10, 2026Remo · Brasileirão Série A0-0D
Oct 8, 2026Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 20, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A5-0W
Sep 15, 2026Santa Fe · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2-0W

Flamengo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 16, 2026Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores0-0D
Oct 11, 2026Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 8, 2026Santos · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Sep 20, 2026RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 18, 2026Independiente del Valle · CONMEBOL Libertadores1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Vasco DA Gama153529
Flamengo16430

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Flamengo 2-2 Vasco DA GamaBrasileirão Série A
Jan 22, 2026Flamengo 1-0 Vasco DA GamaCarioca - 1

Out and doubtful

Vasco DA Gama

  • Mateus Carvalho (out)
  • F. Colidio (doubtful)
  • C. Cuesta (doubtful)

Flamengo

  • Ayrton Lucas (out)
  • Danilo (out)
  • Evertton Araujo (out)
  • G. de Arrascaeta (out)

Most regular starters

Vasco DA Gama

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Léo Jardim5/5
  • Robert Renan5/5
  • Bruno Duarte4/5
  • Thiago Mendes4/5
  • Alan Lescano3/5
  • Alan Saldivia3/5
  • Cuiabano3/5
  • Facundo Colidio3/5
  • Paulo Henrique3/5
  • A. Saldivia2/5
  • Adson2/5

Flamengo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction?

Our AI gives Vasco DA Gama a 20% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Flamengo 46%. Flamengo are therefore favourites.

When and where is Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo played?

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33. Venue: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.

What form are Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo in?

Vasco DA Gama: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 1 conceded). Flamengo: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vasco DA Gama, 1 for Flamengo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Flamengo 2-2 Vasco DA Gama (May 3, 2026).

Go further

Key terms explained