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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)

Santos vs Palmeiras prediction: correct score and AI tips

SantosSantos–PalmeirasPalmeiras

Match analysis

Santos take on Palmeiras on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33 fixture. Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos. With a 62% win probability, Palmeiras go in as strong favourites against Santos (17%), with the draw rated at 21%.

Over their last 5 matches, Santos have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Palmeiras have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Palmeiras. On average Santos score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Palmeiras score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Santos sit 8th with 42 points from 30 games, Palmeiras 2nd with 63 points from 30. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Santos have averaged 1.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.84 for Palmeiras.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Santos, 3 for Palmeiras and 1 draw. The most recent ended Palmeiras 1-1 Santos (May 2, 2026). Santos out or doubtful: Arthur Melo, Gabriel Brazao, Neymar, Vinicius Lira and Willian Arao (suspended). Palmeiras: A. Giay (suspended), G. Gomez (suspended), Jefte and Vitor Roque. In double chance terms, "Santos or draw" stands at 38%, "Palmeiras or draw" at 83% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

17%
Santos (Win)
21%
Draw
62%
Palmeiras (Win)

Double chance

38%
Santos or draw
83%
Palmeiras or draw
79%
No draw

Exact score and goal markets 🔒

The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.

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Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Santos

DateOpponentScore
Oct 11, 2026Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Oct 8, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Oct 3, 2026Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 19, 2026Remo · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 16, 2026Atletico-MG · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2-4L

Palmeiras

DateOpponentScore
Oct 15, 2026Fluminense · CONMEBOL Libertadores2-1W
Oct 11, 2026Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A4-1W
Oct 9, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Sep 20, 2026Gremio · Brasileirão Série A0-0D
Sep 16, 2026LDU de Quito · CONMEBOL Libertadores2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Santos84230
Palmeiras26330

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Palmeiras 1-1 SantosSerie A
Jan 14, 2026Palmeiras 1-0 SantosPaulista - A1
Nov 16, 2025Santos 1-0 PalmeirasSerie A
Nov 7, 2025Palmeiras 2-0 SantosSerie A
Jan 23, 2025Santos 1-2 PalmeirasPaulista - A1

Out and doubtful

Santos

  • Arthur Melo (out)
  • Gabriel Brazao (out)
  • Neymar (out)
  • Vinicius Lira (out)
  • Willian Arao (suspended)

Palmeiras

  • A. Giay (suspended)
  • G. Gomez (suspended)
  • Jefte (out)
  • Vitor Roque (out)

Most regular starters

Santos

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Gabriel Barbosa5/5
  • Rodinei5/5
  • Christian Oliva4/5
  • Diogenes4/5
  • Gabriel Bontempo4/5
  • Gonzalo Escobar4/5
  • Lucas Veríssimo4/5
  • Willian Arão4/5
  • Gustavinho3/5
  • Álvaro Barreal2/5
  • Arthur2/5

Palmeiras

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Andreas Pereira5/5
  • Carlos Miguel5/5
  • Lucas Evangelista5/5
  • Marlon Freitas4/5
  • Murilo4/5
  • Alexander Barboza3/5
  • Gustavo Gómez3/5
  • José Manuel López3/5
  • Vitor Roque3/5
  • A. Barboza2/5
  • A. Giay2/5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Santos vs Palmeiras prediction?

Our AI gives Santos a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Palmeiras 62%. Palmeiras are therefore favourites.

When and where is Santos vs Palmeiras played?

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 33. Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.

What form are Santos and Palmeiras in?

Santos: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Palmeiras: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Palmeiras?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Santos, 3 for Palmeiras and 1 draw. The most recent ended Palmeiras 1-1 Santos (May 2, 2026).

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Key terms explained