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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, January 19, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)

AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma prediction: correct score and AI tips

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC–AS RomaAS Roma

Match analysis

AEK Athens FC take on AS Roma on Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Allwyn Arena, Athens. The edge goes to AEK Athens FC (47%), ahead of the draw (20%) and a AS Roma win (33%). The most likely correct score is 2-1 (7.7%), ahead of 2-2 (7.2%) and 1-1 (6.9%).

AEK Athens FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 17 and conceding 2. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average AEK Athens FC score 3.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; AS Roma score 2.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, AEK Athens FC sit 16th with 3 points from 1 games, AS Roma 17th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, AEK Athens FC have averaged 1.71 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.46 for AS Roma.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AEK Athens FC and AS Roma: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. AS Roma: M. Bah. In double chance terms, "AEK Athens FC or draw" stands at 67%, "AS Roma or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 80%.

In short : AEK Athens FC are favourites for this AEK Athens FC v AS Roma, with a 47% win probability from our model. On recent form, AEK Athens FC are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while AS Roma have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. One to watch: AS Roma will be without M. Bah.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
AEK Athens FC (Win)
20%
Draw
33%
AS Roma (Win)

Double chance

67%
AEK Athens FC or draw
53%
AS Roma or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as AEK Athens FC – AS Roma. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 34% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
AEK Athens FC 2-1 AS Roma7.7%
AEK Athens FC 2-2 AS Roma7.2%
AEK Athens FC 1-1 AS Roma6.9%
AEK Athens FC 1-2 AS Roma6.5%
AEK Athens FC 3-1 AS Roma5.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.11 goals in total (2.23 for AEK Athens FC, 1.88 for AS Roma): over 2.5 goals has a 78% probability and both teams to score 76%. Everything points to an open game. AEK Athens FC keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, AS Roma in 11%.

Probability
AEK Athens FC expected goals2.23
AS Roma expected goals1.88
Both teams to score76%
Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
AEK Athens FC clean sheet15%
AS Roma clean sheet11%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

AEK Athens FC

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026Panserraikos · Cup8-1W
Sep 13, 2026Asteras Tripolis · Super League 11-1D
Sep 8, 2026Lask Linz · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Sep 5, 2026Aris Thessalonikis · Super League 15-0W
Sep 2, 2026Nestos Chrisoupolis · Cup2-0W

AS Roma

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Inter · Serie A2-2D
Sep 14, 2026Torino · Serie A2-0W
Sep 10, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Atalanta · Serie A2-1W
Aug 31, 2026Lecce · Serie A4-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
AEK Athens FC1631
AS Roma1711

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between AEK Athens FC and AS Roma: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

AEK Athens FC

No absences reported.

AS Roma

  • M. Bah (out)

Most regular starters

AEK Athens FC

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Brignoli3/4
  • H. Moukoudi3/4
  • L. Majer3/4
  • L. Rota3/4
  • R. Marin3/4
  • B. Varga2/4
  • F. Relvas2/4
  • K. Arriaga2/4
  • L. Jovic2/4
  • M. Gacinovic2/4
  • M. Vitalis2/4

AS Roma

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Cristante4/5
  • D. Malen4/5
  • G. Mancini4/5
  • M. Svilar4/5
  • P. Dybala4/5
  • E. Lulli3/5
  • M. Hermoso3/5
  • E. Ndicka2/5
  • M. Kone2/5
  • M. Soule2/5
  • Wesley2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma prediction?

Our AI gives AEK Athens FC a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AS Roma 33%. AEK Athens FC are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma?

2-1 (7.7%), followed by 2-2 (7.2%), 1-1 (6.9%), 1-2 (6.5%) and 3-1 (5.7%).

Will both teams score in AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma?

The probability that both AEK Athens FC and AS Roma score is 76%. AEK Athens FC have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, AS Roma 11%.

How many goals should we expect in AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma?

The model expects 4.11 goals (2.23 for AEK Athens FC, 1.88 for AS Roma). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 78%, over 3.5 goals 59%.

When and where is AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma played?

Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Allwyn Arena, Athens.

What form are AEK Athens FC and AS Roma in?

AEK Athens FC: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 2 conceded). AS Roma: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded).

How is the AEK Athens FC vs AS Roma prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.23 for AEK Athens FC, 1.88 for AS Roma) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained