UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, January 19, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)

Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: correct score and AI tips

Aston Villa–Borussia Dortmund

Match analysis

UEFA Champions League: the Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund match is scheduled on Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. Aston Villa start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Borussia Dortmund are given 32% and the draw 18%. On the correct score, 2-2 comes out on top (6.4%), followed by 3-2 (5.9%) and 2-1 (5.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, Aston Villa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 15 and conceding 4. Borussia Dortmund therefore arrive in far better shape than Aston Villa. On average Aston Villa score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Borussia Dortmund score 3.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Aston Villa sit 9th with 3 points from 1 games, Borussia Dortmund 12th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Aston Villa have averaged 2.58 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.42 for Borussia Dortmund.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Borussia Dortmund: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Aston Villa out or doubtful: Alysson, M. Bizot, L. Goretzka, I. Maatsen, B. Madjo, A. Onana and P. Torres. Borussia Dortmund: E. Can, M. Kaba, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma and F. Mane. In double chance terms, "Aston Villa or draw" stands at 68%, "Borussia Dortmund or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : Aston Villa are tipped by our AI model in this Aston Villa v Borussia Dortmund (50%). On recent form, Aston Villa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Borussia Dortmund are in good shape (5 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-2.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

Double chance

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund. 2-2 is the single most likely scoreline (6.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 28% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.76 expected goals for Aston Villa and 2.26 for Borussia Dortmund, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 88% and "both teams to score" at 84%. Goals look likely in this one. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 10% of scenarios, Borussia Dortmund in 6%.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Standings before the match

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Borussia Dortmund: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Most regular starters

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Frequently asked questions

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• All Aston Villa predictions
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Key terms explained

• Correct score
• 1X2 (match result)
• Double chance
• BTTS (both teams to score)
• Over/Under (total goals)
• Poisson distribution
• Recent form
• xG (Expected Goals)
• Head-to-head (H2H)