UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, January 19, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)
Inter vs Liverpool prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: the Inter vs Liverpool match is scheduled on Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time). It is a tight call: 35% for Inter, 21% for the draw and 44% for Liverpool. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (7.7%), followed by 2-2 (7.3%) and 1-1 (7.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 2. Liverpool therefore arrive in far better shape than Inter. On average Inter score 2.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Liverpool score 1.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Inter sit 25th with 0 points from 1 games, Liverpool 13th with 3 points from 1. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Inter have averaged 3.05 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.32 for Liverpool.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Inter, 1 for Liverpool and 0 draws. The most recent ended Inter 0-1 Liverpool (Dec 9, 2025). Inter out or doubtful: H. Calhanoglu, D. Spence and J. Stones. Liverpool: C. Bradley, F. Chiesa, H. Ekitike and G. Leoni. In double chance terms, "Inter or draw" stands at 56%, "Liverpool or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Liverpool to edge Inter (44% probability). On recent form, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Liverpool are in good shape (4 wins in 5). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 77%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Inter – Liverpool. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (7.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 35% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Inter 1-2 Liverpool | 7.7% |
| Inter 2-2 Liverpool | 7.3% |
| Inter 1-1 Liverpool | 7.2% |
| Inter 2-1 Liverpool | 6.8% |
| Inter 1-3 Liverpool | 5.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.89 expected goals for Inter and 2.13 for Liverpool, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 77% and "both teams to score" at 75%. Goals look likely in this one. Inter keep a clean sheet in 12% of scenarios, Liverpool in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Inter expected goals | 1.89 |
| Liverpool expected goals | 2.13 |
| Both teams to score | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% |
| Inter clean sheet | 12% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 5-3 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
Liverpool
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham · EFL Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ipswich · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| Liverpool | 13 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | Inter 0-1 Liverpool | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
Inter
- H. Calhanoglu (out)
- D. Spence (out)
- J. Stones (out)
Liverpool
- C. Bradley (out)
- F. Chiesa (out)
- H. Ekitike (out)
- G. Leoni (out)
Most regular starters
Inter
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bastoni4/5
- J. Martinez4/5
- N. Barella4/5
- A. Diouf3/5
- F. Esposito3/5
- L. Martinez3/5
- M. Akanji3/5
- B. Pavard2/5
- Carlos Augusto2/5
- F. Dimarco2/5
- H. Calhanoglu2/5
Liverpool
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Isak4/5
- A. Mac Allister4/5
- D. Szoboszlai4/5
- F. Wirtz4/5
- J. Jacquet4/5
- M. Kerkez4/5
- V. van Dijk4/5
- Alisson3/5
- B. Barcola3/5
- C. Gakpo3/5
- R. Araujo3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Inter vs Liverpool prediction?
Our AI gives Inter a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Liverpool 44%. Liverpool are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Inter vs Liverpool?
1-2 (7.7%), followed by 2-2 (7.3%), 1-1 (7.2%), 2-1 (6.8%) and 1-3 (5.5%).
Will both teams score in Inter vs Liverpool?
The probability that both Inter and Liverpool score is 75%. Inter have a 12% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Liverpool 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Inter vs Liverpool?
The model expects 4.02 goals (1.89 for Inter, 2.13 for Liverpool). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 91%, over 2.5 goals 77%, over 3.5 goals 57%.
When and where is Inter vs Liverpool played?
Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League.
What form are Inter and Liverpool in?
Inter: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded). Liverpool: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Liverpool?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Inter, 1 for Liverpool and 0 draws. The most recent ended Inter 0-1 Liverpool (Dec 9, 2025).
How is the Inter vs Liverpool prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.89 for Inter, 2.13 for Liverpool) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Inter predictions
- All Liverpool predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology