UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, January 19, 2027, 17:45 (UK time)
Bodo/Glimt vs Atletico Madrid prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Bodo/Glimt take on Atletico Madrid on Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 17:45 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Aspmyra Stadion. The edge goes to Atletico Madrid (54%), ahead of the draw (22%) and a Bodo/Glimt win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.3%), ahead of 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-1 (8.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Bodo/Glimt have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Bodo/Glimt score 2.00 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Atletico Madrid score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Bodo/Glimt sit 36th with 0 points from 1 games, Atletico Madrid 26th with 0 points from 1. 10 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for Atletico Madrid and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bodo/Glimt (Jan 28, 2026). Atletico Madrid: P. Barrios and A. Sorloth. In double chance terms, "Bodo/Glimt or draw" stands at 46%, "Atletico Madrid or draw" at 76% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Atletico Madrid are favourites for this Bodo/Glimt v Atletico Madrid, with a 54% win probability from our model. In the table, Bodo/Glimt (36th, 0 pts) host Atletico Madrid (26th, 0 pts). One to watch: Atletico Madrid will be without P. Barrios and A. Sorloth.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bodo/Glimt – Atletico Madrid. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Atletico Madrid | 10.3% |
| Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Atletico Madrid | 9.8% |
| Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Atletico Madrid | 8.6% |
| Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Atletico Madrid | 8.1% |
| Bodo/Glimt 1-3 Atletico Madrid | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.10 goals in total (1.20 for Bodo/Glimt, 1.90 for Atletico Madrid): over 2.5 goals has a 60% probability and both teams to score 59%. Everything points to an open game. Bodo/Glimt keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Atletico Madrid in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt expected goals | 1.20 |
| Atletico Madrid expected goals | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Bodo/Glimt clean sheet | 15% |
| Atletico Madrid clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Bodo/Glimt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brann · Eliteserien | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bayern München · UEFA Champions League | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Fredrikstad · Eliteserien | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rosenborg · Eliteserien | 4-2 | W |
Atletico Madrid
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Liverpool · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 36 | 0 | 1 |
| Atletico Madrid | 26 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bodo/Glimt | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
Bodo/Glimt
No absences reported.
Atletico Madrid
- P. Barrios (out)
- A. Sorloth (out)
Most regular starters
Bodo/Glimt
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Helmersen5/5
- P. Berg5/5
- S. Auklend5/5
- S. Fet5/5
- F. Sjovold4/5
- O. L. Bjortuft4/5
- V. Nielsen4/5
- F. Bjorkan3/5
- J. Hauge3/5
- N. Haikin3/5
- O. Blomberg3/5
Atletico Madrid
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Oblak5/5
- Lee Kang-In5/5
- A. Baena4/5
- C. Romero4/5
- D. Hancko4/5
- G. Simeone4/5
- M. Llorente4/5
- A. Grimaldo3/5
- A. Lookman3/5
- M. Pubill3/5
- J. Cardoso2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Bodo/Glimt vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our AI gives Bodo/Glimt a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Madrid 54%. Atletico Madrid are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Bodo/Glimt vs Atletico Madrid?
1-1 (10.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.8%), 0-1 (8.6%), 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-3 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Atletico Madrid?
The probability that both Bodo/Glimt and Atletico Madrid score is 59%. Bodo/Glimt have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Atletico Madrid 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Bodo/Glimt vs Atletico Madrid?
The model expects 3.10 goals (1.20 for Bodo/Glimt, 1.90 for Atletico Madrid). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is Bodo/Glimt vs Atletico Madrid played?
Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Aspmyra Stadion.
What form are Bodo/Glimt and Atletico Madrid in?
Bodo/Glimt: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 12 conceded). Atletico Madrid: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and Atletico Madrid?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for Atletico Madrid and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bodo/Glimt (Jan 28, 2026).
How is the Bodo/Glimt vs Atletico Madrid prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.20 for Bodo/Glimt, 1.90 for Atletico Madrid) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Bodo/Glimt predictions
- All Atletico Madrid predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
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