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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 20, 2027, 17:45 (UK time)

Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal prediction: correct score and AI tips

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe–VillarrealVillarreal

Match analysis

Fenerbahçe take on Villarreal on Wednesday, January 20, 2027 at 17:45 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul. The edge goes to Villarreal (45%), ahead of the draw (23%) and a Fenerbahçe win (32%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.4%), ahead of 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Villarreal have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Fenerbahçe score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Villarreal score 2.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, Fenerbahçe sit 20th with 1 points from 1 games, Villarreal 21st with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Fenerbahçe have averaged 1.16 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.16 for Villarreal.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Fenerbahçe and Villarreal: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Fenerbahçe out or doubtful: M. Muldur and J. Oosterwolde. Villarreal: S. Comesana. In double chance terms, "Fenerbahçe or draw" stands at 55%, "Villarreal or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : Villarreal are favourites for this Fenerbahçe v Villarreal, with a 45% win probability from our model. On recent form, Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Villarreal have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. One to watch: Fenerbahçe will be without M. Muldur and J. Oosterwolde.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

32%
Fenerbahçe (Win)
23%
Draw
45%
Villarreal (Win)

Double chance

55%
Fenerbahçe or draw
68%
Villarreal or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Fenerbahçe – Villarreal. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Fenerbahçe 1-1 Villarreal10.4%
Fenerbahçe 1-2 Villarreal9.1%
Fenerbahçe 2-1 Villarreal7.4%
Fenerbahçe 0-1 Villarreal7.3%
Fenerbahçe 2-2 Villarreal6.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.18 goals in total (1.43 for Fenerbahçe, 1.75 for Villarreal): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 63%. Everything points to an open game. Fenerbahçe keep a clean sheet in 17% of scenarios, Villarreal in 24%.

Probability
Fenerbahçe expected goals1.43
Villarreal expected goals1.75
Both teams to score63%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Fenerbahçe clean sheet17%
Villarreal clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Fenerbahçe

DateOpponentScore
Sep 14, 2026Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig0-0D
Sep 10, 2026AS Roma · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Beşiktaş · Süper Lig1-2L
Aug 30, 2026Samsunspor · Süper Lig2-0W
Aug 26, 2026Lyon · UEFA Champions League2-1W

Villarreal

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Levante · La Liga3-1W
Sep 17, 2026Malaga · La Liga3-1W
Sep 14, 2026Real Betis · La Liga1-2L
Sep 8, 2026Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Sep 5, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Fenerbahçe2011
Villarreal2101

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Fenerbahçe and Villarreal: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Fenerbahçe

  • M. Muldur (out)
  • J. Oosterwolde (out)

Villarreal

  • S. Comesana (out)

Most regular starters

Fenerbahçe

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Brown4/4
  • Ederson4/4
  • M. Greenwood4/4
  • V. Muriqi4/4
  • M. Guendouzi3/4
  • M. Skriniar3/4
  • N. Ake3/4
  • N. Kante3/4
  • N. Semedo3/4
  • O. Aydin3/4
  • I. Kahveci2/4

Villarreal

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • N. Saliba4/5
  • P. Gueye4/5
  • T. Buchanan4/5
  • A. Freeman3/5
  • R. Veiga3/5
  • Alberto Moleiro2/5
  • Ayoze Pérez2/5
  • G. Mikautadze2/5
  • G. Moreno2/5
  • Ilias Akhomach2/5
  • N. Pepe2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal prediction?

Our AI gives Fenerbahçe a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarreal 45%. Villarreal are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?

1-1 (10.4%), followed by 1-2 (9.1%), 2-1 (7.4%), 0-1 (7.3%) and 2-2 (6.5%).

Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?

The probability that both Fenerbahçe and Villarreal score is 63%. Fenerbahçe have a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Villarreal 24%.

How many goals should we expect in Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?

The model expects 3.18 goals (1.43 for Fenerbahçe, 1.75 for Villarreal). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 39%.

When and where is Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal played?

Wednesday, January 20, 2027 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul.

What form are Fenerbahçe and Villarreal in?

Fenerbahçe: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Villarreal: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 10 conceded).

How is the Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.43 for Fenerbahçe, 1.75 for Villarreal) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained