UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 20, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)
Manchester United vs Bayern München prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Manchester United take on Bayern München on Wednesday, January 20, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester. Our model makes Bayern München clear favourites: a 63% chance of winning, against 19% for the draw and 18% for Manchester United.
Manchester United have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 7. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 18 and conceding 2. Bayern München therefore arrive in far better shape than Manchester United. On average Manchester United score 1.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Bayern München score 3.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Manchester United sit 4th with 3 points from 1 games, Bayern München 2nd with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Manchester United have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.38 for Bayern München.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Manchester United and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Manchester United out or doubtful: A. Diallo, T. Heaton, B. Sesko, M. Ugarte and M. de Ligt. Bayern München: T. Buchmann. In double chance terms, "Manchester United or draw" stands at 37%, "Bayern München or draw" at 82% and "no draw" at 81%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Manchester United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brighton · EFL Cup | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
Bayern München
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 7-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück · DFB-Pokal | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Bayern München | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Manchester United and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Manchester United
- A. Diallo (out)
- T. Heaton (out)
- B. Sesko (out)
- M. Ugarte (out)
- M. de Ligt (out)
Bayern München
- T. Buchmann (out)
Most regular starters
Manchester United
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Y. Tielemans5/5
- B. Mbeumo4/5
- K. Mainoo4/5
- M. Rashford4/5
- S. Lammens4/5
- H. Maguire3/5
- B. Fernandes2/5
- B. Šeško2/5
- Bruno Fernandes2/5
- D. Dalot2/5
- Diogo Dalot2/5
Bayern München
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Upamecano4/5
- H. Kane4/5
- J. Kimmich4/5
- J. Tah4/5
- M. Olise4/5
- A. Davies3/5
- I. Saibari3/5
- M. Neuer3/5
- N. Brown3/5
- A. Pavlovic2/5
- A. Pavlović2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Manchester United vs Bayern München prediction?
Our AI gives Manchester United a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bayern München 63%. Bayern München are therefore favourites.
When and where is Manchester United vs Bayern München played?
Wednesday, January 20, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester.
What form are Manchester United and Bayern München in?
Manchester United: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded). Bayern München: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 2 conceded).
Go further
- All Manchester United predictions
- All Bayern München predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology