UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting CP. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Sporting CP at 48%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP met on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting CP 48%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Shakhtar Donetsk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Sporting CP have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Sporting CP score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk sit 17th with 4 points from 3 games, Sporting CP 12th with 6 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Shakhtar Donetsk have averaged 0.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.41 for Sporting CP.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Shakhtar Donetsk out or doubtful: Eguinaldo, V. Korniyenko, Marlon, Pedrinho, T. Puzankov, M. Shved and D. Tvardovskyi. Sporting CP: S. Alexandropoulos, Z. Debast and N. Santos. In double chance terms, "Shakhtar Donetsk or draw" stands at 53%, "Sporting CP or draw" at 73% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Sporting CP are favourites for this Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP, with a 47% win probability from our model. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk (17th, 4 pts) host Sporting CP (12th, 6 pts). One to watch: Shakhtar Donetsk will be without Eguinaldo and V. Korniyenko.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Sporting CP | 12.1% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting CP | 10.9% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Sporting CP | 9.3% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 0-2 Sporting CP | 8.4% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Sporting CP | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.11 expected goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.54 for Sporting CP, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Shakhtar Donetsk keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Sporting CP in 33%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals | 1.11 |
| Sporting CP expected goals | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet | 21% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 33% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Shakhtar Donetsk
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Inter · UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Sporting CP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Casa Pia · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maritimo · Taça da Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lask Linz · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens · UEFA Champions League | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 17 | 4 | 3 |
| Sporting CP | 12 | 6 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Shakhtar Donetsk
- Eguinaldo (out)
- V. Korniyenko (out)
- Marlon (out)
- Pedrinho (out)
- T. Puzankov (out)
- M. Shved (out)
- D. Tvardovskyi (out)
Sporting CP
- S. Alexandropoulos (out)
- Z. Debast (out)
- N. Santos (out)
Most regular starters
Shakhtar Donetsk
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Riznyk5/5
- V. Bondar4/5
- Bruninho3/5
- D. Kryskiv3/5
- Isaque Silva3/5
- M. Matvienko3/5
- O. Karavaev3/5
- O. Ocheretko3/5
- Y. Nazaryna3/5
- A. Ghram2/5
- G. Mendoza2/5
Sporting CP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- N. Irankunda4/5
- I. Doumbia3/5
- E. Quaresma2/5
- Eduardo Quaresma2/5
- G. Catamo2/5
- G. Inacio2/5
- Gonçalo Inácio2/5
- I. Fresneda2/5
- Iván Fresneda2/5
- J. Simoes2/5
- Kaique2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Galatasaray 2-0 VfB StuttgartNov 3, 2026
- Barcelona 3-0 Aston VillaNov 3, 2026
- Manchester United 3-2 AS RomaNov 3, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 0-2 Bayern MünchenNov 3, 2026
- Lask Linz 4-0 Slovan BratislavaNov 3, 2026
- Bodo/Glimt 0-0 LilleNov 3, 2026
- Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint GermainNov 3, 2026
- Feyenoord 0-3 InterNov 3, 2026
- AEK Athens FC 2-3 Real MadridNov 4, 2026
- Fenerbahçe 3-2 LiverpoolNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting CP 48%. Sporting CP are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%), 1-2 (9.3%), 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
The probability that both Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP score is 53%. Shakhtar Donetsk have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sporting CP 33%.
How many goals should we expect in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.11 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1.54 for Sporting CP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London.
What form are Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP in?
Shakhtar Donetsk: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Sporting CP: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting CP. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Sporting CP at 48%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.11 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1.54 for Sporting CP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Shakhtar Donetsk predictions
- All Sporting CP predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology