UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP match is scheduled on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Stamford Bridge, London. Our model makes Sporting CP clear favourites: a 89% chance of winning, against 7% for the draw and 4% for Shakhtar Donetsk. On the correct score, 0-3 comes out on top (9.0%), followed by 0-4 (8.6%) and 1-3 (7.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Shakhtar Donetsk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Sporting CP score 2.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk sit 18th with 1 points from 1 games, Sporting CP 7th with 3 points from 1. 11 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Shakhtar Donetsk or draw" stands at 11%, "Sporting CP or draw" at 96% and "no draw" at 93%.
In short : Sporting CP are favourites for this Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP, with a 89% win probability from our model. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk (18th, 1 pts) host Sporting CP (7th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-3.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (9.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk 0-3 Sporting CP | 9.0% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 0-4 Sporting CP | 8.6% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 Sporting CP | 7.4% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 0-2 Sporting CP | 7.1% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1-4 Sporting CP | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.82 expected goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 3.81 for Sporting CP, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 84% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Goals look likely in this one. Shakhtar Donetsk keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Sporting CP in 44%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals | 0.82 |
| Sporting CP expected goals | 3.81 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 68% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet | 2% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 44% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Shakhtar Donetsk
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi · Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Chornomorets · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Karpaty · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Polessya · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
Sporting CP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 18 | 1 | 1 |
| Sporting CP | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Shakhtar Donetsk
No absences reported.
Sporting CP
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Shakhtar Donetsk
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Riznyk4/4
- O. Ocheretko4/4
- M. Matvienko3/4
- Newerton3/4
- Pedro Henrique3/4
- V. Bondar3/4
- A. Ghram2/4
- G. Mendoza2/4
- Luca Meirelles2/4
- Marlon Gomes2/4
- O. Karavaev2/4
Sporting CP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Doumbia5/5
- G. Catamo4/5
- G. Inacio4/5
- L. Suarez4/5
- M. Araujo4/5
- R. Silva4/5
- R. Zalazar4/5
- S. Altimira4/5
- Z. Debast4/5
- F. Goncalves3/5
- I. Fresneda3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction?
Our AI gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 4% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Sporting CP 89%. Sporting CP are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
0-3 (9.0%), followed by 0-4 (8.6%), 1-3 (7.4%), 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-4 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
The probability that both Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP score is 55%. Shakhtar Donetsk have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sporting CP 44%.
How many goals should we expect in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
The model expects 4.63 goals (0.82 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 3.81 for Sporting CP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 84%, over 3.5 goals 68%.
When and where is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stamford Bridge, London.
What form are Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP in?
Shakhtar Donetsk: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Sporting CP: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.82 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 3.81 for Sporting CP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Shakhtar Donetsk predictions
- All Sporting CP predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology