UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: 0-6 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint Germain. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Paris Saint Germain at 57%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.
Match analysis
Villarreal and Paris Saint Germain met on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Before kick-off, our model gave Villarreal a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris Saint Germain 57%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Villarreal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 18 and conceding 6. Paris Saint Germain therefore arrive in far better shape than Villarreal. On average Villarreal score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Paris Saint Germain score 3.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Villarreal sit 19th with 3 points from 3 games, Paris Saint Germain 1st with 9 points from 3. 18 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Villarreal have averaged 1.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.66 for Paris Saint Germain.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Villarreal and Paris Saint Germain: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Villarreal out or doubtful: I. Akhomach, J. Foyth and G. Moreno. Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and N. Mendes. In double chance terms, "Villarreal or draw" stands at 43%, "Paris Saint Germain or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Paris Saint Germain are tipped by our AI model in this Villarreal v Paris Saint Germain (57%). On recent form, Villarreal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Paris Saint Germain are in good shape (5 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Villarreal – Paris Saint Germain. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Villarreal 1-1 Paris Saint Germain | 10.3% |
| Villarreal 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | 9.9% |
| Villarreal 0-1 Paris Saint Germain | 9.6% |
| Villarreal 0-2 Paris Saint Germain | 9.2% |
| Villarreal 1-3 Paris Saint Germain | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.08 expected goals for Villarreal and 1.92 for Paris Saint Germain, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 58% and "both teams to score" at 56%. Villarreal keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Paris Saint Germain in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Villarreal expected goals | 1.08 |
| Paris Saint Germain expected goals | 1.92 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 15% |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Villarreal
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manacor · Copa del Rey | 5-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool · UEFA Champions League | 3-4 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Paris Saint Germain
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Le Havre · Ligue 1 | 5-1 | W |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barcelona · UEFA Champions League | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg · Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City · UEFA Champions League | 4-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 19 | 3 | 3 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Villarreal and Paris Saint Germain: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Villarreal
- I. Akhomach (out)
- J. Foyth (out)
- G. Moreno (out)
Paris Saint Germain
- O. Dembele (out)
- K. Kvaratskhelia (out)
- Marquinhos (out)
- N. Mendes (out)
Most regular starters
Villarreal
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Macia4/5
- T. Buchanan3/5
- A. Freeman2/5
- A. Moleiro2/5
- A. Perez2/5
- Alberto Moleiro2/5
- G. Mikautadze2/5
- I. Akhomach2/5
- J. Foyth2/5
- L. Costa2/5
- P. Gueye2/5
Paris Saint Germain
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hakimi4/5
- M. Safonov4/5
- D. Doué3/5
- Fabián Ruiz3/5
- Ferran Torres3/5
- João Neves3/5
- M. Akliouche3/5
- Vitinha3/5
- W. Pacho3/5
- W. Zaïre-Emery3/5
- I. Zabarnyi2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting CPNov 3, 2026
- Galatasaray 2-0 VfB StuttgartNov 3, 2026
- Barcelona 3-0 Aston VillaNov 3, 2026
- Manchester United 3-2 AS RomaNov 3, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 0-2 Bayern MünchenNov 3, 2026
- Lask Linz 4-0 Slovan BratislavaNov 3, 2026
- Bodo/Glimt 0-0 LilleNov 3, 2026
- Feyenoord 0-3 InterNov 3, 2026
- AEK Athens FC 2-3 Real MadridNov 4, 2026
- Fenerbahçe 3-2 LiverpoolNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Villarreal a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris Saint Germain 57%. Paris Saint Germain are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-6.
What is the most likely correct score for Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
1-1 (10.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.9%), 0-1 (9.6%), 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-3 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
The probability that both Villarreal and Paris Saint Germain score is 56%. Villarreal have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Paris Saint Germain 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model expects 3.00 goals (1.08 for Villarreal, 1.92 for Paris Saint Germain). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 35%.
When and where is Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.
What form are Villarreal and Paris Saint Germain in?
Villarreal: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Paris Saint Germain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint Germain. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Paris Saint Germain at 57%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.
How is the Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.08 for Villarreal, 1.92 for Paris Saint Germain) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Villarreal predictions
- All Paris Saint Germain predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology