Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

Ajax vs FC Sion: 5-3 result and AI prediction review

AjaxAjax5 – 3FC SionFC Sion

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Ajax 5-3 FC Sion. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ajax at 76%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.

Match analysis

Ajax and FC Sion met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Before kick-off, our model gave Ajax a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Sion 9%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.4%), followed by 3-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.1%).

Ajax are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, FC Sion have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Ajax therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Sion. On average Ajax score 2.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; FC Sion score 2.20 and concede 1.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Ajax, 0 for FC Sion and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Sion 2-4 Ajax (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Ajax or draw" stands at 91%, "FC Sion or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 85%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

76%
Ajax (Win)
15%
Draw
9%
FC Sion (Win)

Double chance

91%
Ajax or draw
24%
FC Sion or draw
85%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Ajax – FC Sion. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Ajax 2-0 FC Sion11.4%
Ajax 3-0 FC Sion9.7%
Ajax 2-1 FC Sion9.1%
Ajax 1-0 FC Sion8.9%
Ajax 3-1 FC Sion7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.56 expected goals for Ajax and 0.80 for FC Sion, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 65% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Goals look likely in this one. Ajax keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, FC Sion in 8%.

Probability
Ajax expected goals2.56
FC Sion expected goals0.80
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Ajax clean sheet45%
FC Sion clean sheet8%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Ajax

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026FC Sion · UEFA Conference League4-2W
Aug 16, 2026Heerenveen · Eredivisie2-2D
Aug 13, 2026Shelbourne · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Aug 9, 2026PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2-0W
Aug 6, 2026Shelbourne · UEFA Conference League3-1W

FC Sion

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Ajax · UEFA Conference League2-4L
Aug 13, 2026FC Noah · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Aug 6, 2026FC Noah · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Jul 30, 2026Bate Borisov · UEFA Conference League4-0W
Jul 23, 2026Bate Borisov · UEFA Conference League1-1D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FC Sion 2-4 AjaxUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Ajax

No absences reported.

FC Sion

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Ajax vs FC Sion prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Ajax a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Sion 9%. Ajax are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Ajax vs FC Sion?

2-0 (11.4%), followed by 3-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.1%), 1-0 (8.9%) and 3-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Ajax vs FC Sion?

The probability that both Ajax and FC Sion score is 51%. Ajax have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Sion 8%.

How many goals should we expect in Ajax vs FC Sion?

The model expects 3.36 goals (2.56 for Ajax, 0.80 for FC Sion). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 65%, over 3.5 goals 43%.

When and where is Ajax vs FC Sion played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.

What form are Ajax and FC Sion in?

Ajax: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded). FC Sion: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and FC Sion?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Ajax, 0 for FC Sion and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Sion 2-4 Ajax (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Ajax vs FC Sion result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Ajax 5-3 FC Sion. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ajax at 76%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.

How is the Ajax vs FC Sion prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.56 for Ajax, 0.80 for FC Sion) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained