Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland: 2-3 result and AI prediction review

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen2 – 3FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FC ST. Gallen 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC ST. Gallen (48%), while victory for FC Nordsjaelland was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Kybunpark, St. Gallen. Before kick-off, our model gave FC ST. Gallen a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Nordsjaelland 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, FC ST. Gallen have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, FC Nordsjaelland have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 1. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC ST. Gallen score 2.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; FC Nordsjaelland score 2.80 and concede 0.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC ST. Gallen, 1 for FC Nordsjaelland and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. Gallen (Aug 20, 2026). FC Nordsjaelland: S. Alio and A. Mohammed. In double chance terms, "FC ST. Gallen or draw" stands at 74%, "FC Nordsjaelland or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
FC ST. Gallen (Win)
26%
Draw
26%
FC Nordsjaelland (Win)

Double chance

74%
FC ST. Gallen or draw
52%
FC Nordsjaelland or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC ST. Gallen – FC Nordsjaelland. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC ST. Gallen 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland12.1%
FC ST. Gallen 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland11.3%
FC ST. Gallen 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland9.4%
FC ST. Gallen 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland8.7%
FC ST. Gallen 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.55 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.07 for FC Nordsjaelland): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. FC ST. Gallen keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, FC Nordsjaelland in 21%.

Probability
FC ST. Gallen expected goals1.55
FC Nordsjaelland expected goals1.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
FC ST. Gallen clean sheet34%
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC ST. Gallen

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026FC Nordsjaelland · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Aug 13, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Conference League5-1W
Aug 6, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Jul 30, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Jul 23, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League2-1W

FC Nordsjaelland

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026FC ST. Gallen · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Aug 13, 2026Valur Reykjavik · UEFA Conference League5-0W
Aug 6, 2026Valur Reykjavik · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 30, 2026Gais · UEFA Conference League6-0W
Jul 23, 2026Gais · UEFA Conference League0-1L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. GallenUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

FC ST. Gallen

No absences reported.

FC Nordsjaelland

  • S. Alio (out)
  • A. Mohammed (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC ST. Gallen a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Nordsjaelland 26%. FC ST. Gallen are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.

What is the most likely correct score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The probability that both FC ST. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland score is 52%. FC ST. Gallen have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Nordsjaelland 21%.

How many goals should we expect in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.55 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.07 for FC Nordsjaelland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Kybunpark, St. Gallen.

What form are FC ST. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland in?

FC ST. Gallen: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 9 conceded). FC Nordsjaelland: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 1 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FC ST. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC ST. Gallen, 1 for FC Nordsjaelland and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. Gallen (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC ST. Gallen 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC ST. Gallen (48%), while victory for FC Nordsjaelland was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.07 for FC Nordsjaelland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained