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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta: 0-1 result and AI prediction review

Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv0 – 1AtalantaAtalanta

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hapoel Tel Aviv (38%), while victory for Atalanta was rated at only 33%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.

Match analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: DVTK Stadion, Miskolc. Before kick-off, our model gave Hapoel Tel Aviv a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atalanta 33%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.3%), ahead of 1-0 (12.3%) and 0-1 (11.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Atalanta have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Atalanta score 1.40 and concede 0.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hapoel Tel Aviv, 0 for Atalanta and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv (Aug 20, 2026). Atalanta: H. Ahanor, I. Hien, T. Kristensen and K. Sulemana. In double chance terms, "Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw" stands at 67%, "Atalanta or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 71%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Win)
29%
Draw
33%
Atalanta (Win)

Double chance

67%
Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw
62%
Atalanta or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Hapoel Tel Aviv – Atalanta. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Atalanta13.3%
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Atalanta12.3%
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta11.3%
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Atalanta10.4%
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Atalanta7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.26 goals in total (1.18 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, 1.08 for Atalanta): over 2.5 goals has a 39% probability and both teams to score 46%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Hapoel Tel Aviv keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Atalanta in 31%.

Probability
Hapoel Tel Aviv expected goals1.18
Atalanta expected goals1.08
Both teams to score46%
Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Hapoel Tel Aviv clean sheet34%
Atalanta clean sheet31%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Atalanta · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Aug 12, 2026GKS Katowice · UEFA Conference League1-2L
Aug 6, 2026GKS Katowice · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 30, 2026Ludogorets · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Jul 23, 2026Ludogorets · UEFA Conference League2-0W

Atalanta

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Sassuolo · Serie A2-1W
Aug 20, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Aug 14, 2026Athletic Club · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 8, 2026FC Schalke 04 · Club Friendlies3-0W
Aug 2, 2026Feyenoord · Club Friendlies1-2L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Hapoel Tel Aviv

No absences reported.

Atalanta

  • H. Ahanor (out)
  • I. Hien (out)
  • T. Kristensen (out)
  • K. Sulemana (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Hapoel Tel Aviv a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atalanta 33%. Hapoel Tel Aviv are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

1-1 (13.3%), followed by 1-0 (12.3%), 0-1 (11.3%), 0-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

The probability that both Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta score is 46%. Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Atalanta 31%.

How many goals should we expect in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

The model expects 2.26 goals (1.18 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, 1.08 for Atalanta). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.

When and where is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: DVTK Stadion, Miskolc.

What form are Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta in?

Hapoel Tel Aviv: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Atalanta: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hapoel Tel Aviv, 0 for Atalanta and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hapoel Tel Aviv (38%), while victory for Atalanta was rated at only 33%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.

How is the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.18 for Hapoel Tel Aviv, 1.08 for Atalanta) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained