UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Ajax vs Shelbourne: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ajax 3-1 Shelbourne. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ajax was the model's favourite outcome (87%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): correct.
Match analysis
Ajax vs Shelbourne was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Before kick-off, our model gave Ajax a 87% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Shelbourne 4%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (13.0%), ahead of 2-0 (12.7%) and 4-0 (10.0%).
Ajax are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Shelbourne have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Ajax. On average Ajax score 2.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Shelbourne score 2.80 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ajax and Shelbourne: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ajax or draw" stands at 96%, "Shelbourne or draw" at 13% and "no draw" at 91%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ajax – Shelbourne. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ajax 3-0 Shelbourne | 13.0% |
| Ajax 2-0 Shelbourne | 12.7% |
| Ajax 4-0 Shelbourne | 10.0% |
| Ajax 1-0 Shelbourne | 8.2% |
| Ajax 3-1 Shelbourne | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.62 goals in total (3.08 for Ajax, 0.54 for Shelbourne): over 2.5 goals has a 70% probability and both teams to score 40%. Everything points to an open game. Ajax keep a clean sheet in 58% of scenarios, Shelbourne in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ajax expected goals | 3.08 |
| Shelbourne expected goals | 0.54 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% |
| Ajax clean sheet | 58% |
| Shelbourne clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Ajax
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Volendam · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Vojvodina · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Burnley · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vojvodina · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Shelbourne
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Kalju Nomme · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Kalju Nomme · UEFA Conference League | 5-2 | W |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Celtic · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Longford Town · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bray Wanderers · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ajax and Shelbourne: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Ajax
No absences reported.
Shelbourne
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 Austria ViennaAug 6, 2026
- Twente 6-0 Dunajska StredaAug 6, 2026
- Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 GKS KatowiceAug 6, 2026
- FC Lugano 2-0 NSI RunavikAug 6, 2026
- Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML VitebskAug 6, 2026
- SC Braga 1-0 Dinamo MinskAug 6, 2026
- Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC NordsjaellandAug 6, 2026
- Bohemians 0-2 FC MidtjyllandAug 6, 2026
- HNK Rijeka 1-0 IlvesAug 6, 2026
- FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol KostanayAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ajax vs Shelbourne prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ajax a 87% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Shelbourne 4%. Ajax are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Ajax vs Shelbourne?
3-0 (13.0%), followed by 2-0 (12.7%), 4-0 (10.0%), 1-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Shelbourne?
The probability that both Ajax and Shelbourne score is 40%. Ajax have a 58% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Shelbourne 5%.
How many goals should we expect in Ajax vs Shelbourne?
The model expects 3.62 goals (3.08 for Ajax, 0.54 for Shelbourne). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, over 3.5 goals 49%.
When and where is Ajax vs Shelbourne played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
What form are Ajax and Shelbourne in?
Ajax: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 4 conceded). Shelbourne: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Ajax vs Shelbourne result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ajax 3-1 Shelbourne. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ajax was the model's favourite outcome (87%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): correct.
How is the Ajax vs Shelbourne prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.08 for Ajax, 0.54 for Shelbourne) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ajax predictions
- All Shelbourne predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology