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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

FK PartizanFK Partizan3 – 0FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol Kostanay. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Partizan at 54%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

FK Partizan and FK Tobol Kostanay met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Stadion Partizana, Belgrade. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Partizan a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Tobol Kostanay 22%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

FK Partizan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 3. FK Tobol Kostanay have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. FK Partizan therefore arrive in far better shape than FK Tobol Kostanay. On average FK Partizan score 2.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; FK Tobol Kostanay score 0.80 and concede 1.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Partizan and FK Tobol Kostanay: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FK Partizan or draw" stands at 78%, "FK Tobol Kostanay or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

54%
FK Partizan (Win)
24%
Draw
22%
FK Tobol Kostanay (Win)

Double chance

78%
FK Partizan or draw
46%
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Partizan – FK Tobol Kostanay. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Partizan 1-0 FK Tobol Kostanay11.6%
FK Partizan 1-1 FK Tobol Kostanay11.5%
FK Partizan 2-0 FK Tobol Kostanay9.8%
FK Partizan 2-1 FK Tobol Kostanay9.7%
FK Partizan 0-0 FK Tobol Kostanay6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.69 expected goals for FK Partizan and 0.99 for FK Tobol Kostanay, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. FK Partizan keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, FK Tobol Kostanay in 19%.

Probability
FK Partizan expected goals1.69
FK Tobol Kostanay expected goals0.99
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FK Partizan clean sheet37%
FK Tobol Kostanay clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Partizan

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026UNA Strassen · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 23, 2026UNA Strassen · UEFA Conference League4-0W
Jul 10, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 6, 2026Neftchi Baku · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 2, 2026Aluminij · Club Friendlies2-1W

FK Tobol Kostanay

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Panevėžys · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 23, 2026Panevėžys · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Feb 13, 2026Nizhny Novgorod · Club Friendlies1-2L
Feb 8, 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · Club Friendlies0-3L
Jan 25, 2026Slavia Sofia · Club Friendlies1-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Partizan and FK Tobol Kostanay: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FK Partizan

No absences reported.

FK Tobol Kostanay

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Partizan a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Tobol Kostanay 22%. FK Partizan are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

The probability that both FK Partizan and FK Tobol Kostanay score is 51%. FK Partizan have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Tobol Kostanay 19%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for FK Partizan, 0.99 for FK Tobol Kostanay). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadion Partizana, Belgrade.

What form are FK Partizan and FK Tobol Kostanay in?

FK Partizan: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded). FK Tobol Kostanay: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).

What was the FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol Kostanay. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Partizan at 54%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for FK Partizan, 0.99 for FK Tobol Kostanay) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained