UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Hibernian vs Shkendija: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hibernian 2-1 Shkendija. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Hibernian was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Hibernian vs Shkendija was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Easter Road, Edinburgh. Before kick-off, our model gave Hibernian a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shkendija 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Hibernian have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Shkendija have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Shkendija. On average Hibernian score 2.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Shkendija score 2.40 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hibernian and Shkendija: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Hibernian or draw" stands at 79%, "Shkendija or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hibernian – Shkendija. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hibernian 1-0 Shkendija | 11.7% |
| Hibernian 1-1 Shkendija | 11.3% |
| Hibernian 2-0 Shkendija | 10.2% |
| Hibernian 2-1 Shkendija | 9.8% |
| Hibernian 0-0 Shkendija | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.69 goals in total (1.73 for Hibernian, 0.96 for Shkendija): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Hibernian keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Shkendija in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hibernian expected goals | 1.73 |
| Shkendija expected goals | 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Hibernian clean sheet | 38% |
| Shkendija clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Hibernian
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Malisheva · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Malisheva · UEFA Conference League | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Cliftonville FC · Club Friendlies | 5-1 | W |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Legia Warszawa · UEFA Conference League | 3-3 | D |
Shkendija
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bravo · UEFA Conference League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bravo · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Europa · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Europa · UEFA Conference League | 5-0 | W |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hibernian and Shkendija: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Hibernian
No absences reported.
Shkendija
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ajax 3-1 ShelbourneAug 6, 2026
- Twente 6-0 Dunajska StredaAug 6, 2026
- FC Lugano 2-0 NSI RunavikAug 6, 2026
- Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML VitebskAug 6, 2026
- SC Braga 1-0 Dinamo MinskAug 6, 2026
- Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC NordsjaellandAug 6, 2026
- Bohemians 0-2 FC MidtjyllandAug 6, 2026
- HNK Rijeka 1-0 IlvesAug 6, 2026
- FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol KostanayAug 6, 2026
- Tre Fiori 1-4 DritaAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hibernian vs Shkendija prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hibernian a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shkendija 21%. Hibernian are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Hibernian vs Shkendija?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Shkendija?
The probability that both Hibernian and Shkendija score is 51%. Hibernian have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Shkendija 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Hibernian vs Shkendija?
The model expects 2.69 goals (1.73 for Hibernian, 0.96 for Shkendija). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Hibernian vs Shkendija played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Easter Road, Edinburgh.
What form are Hibernian and Shkendija in?
Hibernian: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded). Shkendija: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Hibernian vs Shkendija result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hibernian 2-1 Shkendija. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Hibernian was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Hibernian vs Shkendija prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.73 for Hibernian, 0.96 for Shkendija) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hibernian predictions
- All Shkendija predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology