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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

FC LuganoFC Lugano2 – 0NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: FC Lugano 2-0 NSI Runavik. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Lugano was the model's favourite outcome (54%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: AIL Arena, Lugano. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Lugano a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NSI Runavik 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (9.9%).

FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 12 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, NSI Runavik have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with FC Lugano. On average FC Lugano score 2.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; NSI Runavik score 1.00 and concede 1.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Lugano and NSI Runavik: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FC Lugano or draw" stands at 78%, "NSI Runavik or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

54%
FC Lugano (Win)
24%
Draw
22%
NSI Runavik (Win)

Double chance

78%
FC Lugano or draw
46%
NSI Runavik or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC Lugano – NSI Runavik. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC Lugano 1-0 NSI Runavik11.7%
FC Lugano 1-1 NSI Runavik11.4%
FC Lugano 2-0 NSI Runavik9.9%
FC Lugano 2-1 NSI Runavik9.7%
FC Lugano 0-0 NSI Runavik6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.68 goals in total (1.70 for FC Lugano, 0.98 for NSI Runavik): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. FC Lugano keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, NSI Runavik in 18%.

Probability
FC Lugano expected goals1.70
NSI Runavik expected goals0.98
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FC Lugano clean sheet38%
NSI Runavik clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC Lugano

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Dukagjini · UEFA Conference League5-1W
Jul 23, 2026Dukagjini · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 10, 20261. FC Heidenheim · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 7, 2026Memmingen · Club Friendlies4-0W
Jul 4, 2026Rapperswil · Club Friendlies1-1D

NSI Runavik

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Koper · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 23, 2026Koper · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Jul 16, 2026Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 17, 2025HJK Helsinki · UEFA Conference League0-5L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Lugano and NSI Runavik: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FC Lugano

No absences reported.

NSI Runavik

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC Lugano a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NSI Runavik 22%. FC Lugano are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%), 2-0 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

The probability that both FC Lugano and NSI Runavik score is 51%. FC Lugano have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, NSI Runavik 18%.

How many goals should we expect in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.70 for FC Lugano, 0.98 for NSI Runavik). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: AIL Arena, Lugano.

What form are FC Lugano and NSI Runavik in?

FC Lugano: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 2 conceded). NSI Runavik: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC Lugano 2-0 NSI Runavik. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Lugano was the model's favourite outcome (54%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.70 for FC Lugano, 0.98 for NSI Runavik) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained