UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)
Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC Nordsjaelland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Valur Reykjavik (49%), while victory for FC Nordsjaelland was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Valur Reykjavik and FC Nordsjaelland met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Hlídarendi Reykjavik, Reykjavik. Before kick-off, our model gave Valur Reykjavik a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Nordsjaelland 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Valur Reykjavik have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. FC Nordsjaelland have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 9. Valur Reykjavik therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Nordsjaelland. On average Valur Reykjavik score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; FC Nordsjaelland score 1.80 and concede 1.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Valur Reykjavik and FC Nordsjaelland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. FC Nordsjaelland: S. Alio, A. Lind and A. Mohammed. In double chance terms, "Valur Reykjavik or draw" stands at 74%, "FC Nordsjaelland or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Valur Reykjavik – FC Nordsjaelland. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland | 12.0% |
| Valur Reykjavik 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland | 11.2% |
| Valur Reykjavik 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland | 9.4% |
| Valur Reykjavik 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland | 8.8% |
| Valur Reykjavik 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.56 expected goals for Valur Reykjavik and 1.07 for FC Nordsjaelland, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Valur Reykjavik keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, FC Nordsjaelland in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik expected goals | 1.56 |
| FC Nordsjaelland expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Valur Reykjavik clean sheet | 34% |
| FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Valur Reykjavik
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Zrinjski · UEFA Conference League | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Zrinjski · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Flora Tallinn · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
FC Nordsjaelland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Gais · UEFA Conference League | 6-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Gais · UEFA Conference League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Hradec Králové · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Brondby · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Valur Reykjavik and FC Nordsjaelland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Valur Reykjavik
No absences reported.
FC Nordsjaelland
- S. Alio (out)
- A. Lind (out)
- A. Mohammed (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Ajax 3-1 ShelbourneAug 6, 2026
- Twente 6-0 Dunajska StredaAug 6, 2026
- FC Lugano 2-0 NSI RunavikAug 6, 2026
- Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML VitebskAug 6, 2026
- SC Braga 1-0 Dinamo MinskAug 6, 2026
- Bohemians 0-2 FC MidtjyllandAug 6, 2026
- HNK Rijeka 1-0 IlvesAug 6, 2026
- FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol KostanayAug 6, 2026
- Tre Fiori 1-4 DritaAug 6, 2026
- Hibernian 2-1 ShkendijaAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Valur Reykjavik a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Nordsjaelland 26%. Valur Reykjavik are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The probability that both Valur Reykjavik and FC Nordsjaelland score is 52%. Valur Reykjavik have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Nordsjaelland 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for Valur Reykjavik, 1.07 for FC Nordsjaelland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Hlídarendi Reykjavik, Reykjavik.
What form are Valur Reykjavik and FC Nordsjaelland in?
Valur Reykjavik: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). FC Nordsjaelland: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded).
What was the Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC Nordsjaelland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Valur Reykjavik (49%), while victory for FC Nordsjaelland was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Valur Reykjavik, 1.07 for FC Nordsjaelland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Valur Reykjavik predictions
- All FC Nordsjaelland predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

