UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Tre Fiori vs Drita: 1-4 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Tre Fiori 1-4 Drita. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tre Fiori (50%), while victory for Drita was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Tre Fiori vs Drita was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: San Marino Stadium, Serravalle. Before kick-off, our model gave Tre Fiori a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Drita 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.9%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Tre Fiori have won just one of their last 4 matches (0 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 8. Drita have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Tre Fiori score 0.50 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Drita score 1.20 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Tre Fiori and Drita: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Tre Fiori or draw" stands at 75%, "Drita or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Tre Fiori – Drita. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tre Fiori 1-1 Drita | 11.9% |
| Tre Fiori 1-0 Drita | 11.3% |
| Tre Fiori 2-1 Drita | 9.5% |
| Tre Fiori 2-0 Drita | 9.0% |
| Tre Fiori 0-1 Drita | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.59 for Tre Fiori, 1.05 for Drita): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Tre Fiori keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Drita in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Tre Fiori expected goals | 1.59 |
| Drita expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Tre Fiori clean sheet | 35% |
| Drita clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Tre Fiori
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Larne · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Larne · UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan · UEFA Conference League | 0-5 | L |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
Drita
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Floriana · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Floriana · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Tre Fiori and Drita: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Tre Fiori
No absences reported.
Drita
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ajax 3-1 ShelbourneAug 6, 2026
- Twente 6-0 Dunajska StredaAug 6, 2026
- FC Lugano 2-0 NSI RunavikAug 6, 2026
- Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML VitebskAug 6, 2026
- SC Braga 1-0 Dinamo MinskAug 6, 2026
- Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC NordsjaellandAug 6, 2026
- Bohemians 0-2 FC MidtjyllandAug 6, 2026
- HNK Rijeka 1-0 IlvesAug 6, 2026
- FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol KostanayAug 6, 2026
- Hibernian 2-1 ShkendijaAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Tre Fiori vs Drita prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Tre Fiori a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Drita 25%. Tre Fiori are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-4.
What is the most likely correct score for Tre Fiori vs Drita?
1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Tre Fiori vs Drita?
The probability that both Tre Fiori and Drita score is 52%. Tre Fiori have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Drita 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Tre Fiori vs Drita?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for Tre Fiori, 1.05 for Drita). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Tre Fiori vs Drita played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: San Marino Stadium, Serravalle.
What form are Tre Fiori and Drita in?
Tre Fiori: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches (2 scored, 8 conceded). Drita: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the Tre Fiori vs Drita result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Tre Fiori 1-4 Drita. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tre Fiori (50%), while victory for Drita was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Tre Fiori vs Drita prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for Tre Fiori, 1.05 for Drita) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Tre Fiori predictions
- All Drita predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology